Cameron Boozer is a 6-9 freshman stretch frontcourt from Duke, carrying +17.1 BPM, 30.6% usage, 61.5% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 1, PDF tag: Best 3&D shot blockers, 100.0% promise, 83.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Elite feel and processing for a frontcourt prospect.
Very comfortable working from the post, face-up spots, and short-roll decision points.
Reads doubles better than any big in this class.
Excellent shooting touch with real long-term spacing indicators.
Fundamentally sound defender who stays disciplined and avoids unnecessary fouls.
Strong defensive awareness, especially with positioning, timing, and passing-lane activity.
Can plausibly switch onto most non-star perimeter players and survive possessions.
Needs Work
Undersized for a full-time NBA 5, so the positional fit likely leans more toward power forward.
Needs better finishing decisions when playing through traffic and contact.
Has to develop a reliable midrange counter, especially when he cannot get all the way to the rim.
Limited high-volume perimeter shot creation right now.
Could show more shot-blocking instincts and vertical defensive playmaking.
Was often protected from difficult switch assignments, so the defensive versatility still needs stress-testing.
Not yet a dependable hedge defender against higher-level ball-screen creators.
Scouting Write-Up
Boozer is one of the safest high-end prospects in the class because his feel, polish, and decision-making give him multiple ways to impact winning. He is advanced as a passer out of the post and face-up situations, reads pressure quickly, and has the shooting touch to punish defenses that give him space.
The question is whether the athletic and positional margins are large enough for him to become a true year over year All-NBA player. He is not quite big enough to be penciled in as a full-time center, and he still needs more counters when he gets stuck with the ball later in the shot clock without immediate separation or a runway.
Defensively, the foundation is strong: he is aware, disciplined, and rarely reckless. Still, the NBA will force him into more switches, hedges, and vertical contests than he has consistently had to handle, so his ceiling depends on how much defensive range and shot-blocking presence he can add without losing the discipline that already makes him good.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Cooper Flagg, Zion Williamson, Marvin Bagley III, Asa Newell
Player-centered hit rate
83.5% NBA hit rate (102/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 33.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 23.0% good-starter rate, and 16.5% star rate.
Board thesis
Cameron Boozer's case is built on elite processing, polished frontcourt skill, and a defensive floor that should translate because he rarely beats himself. The swing factor is whether he develops enough self-created counters, midrange comfort, and defensive versatility to be more than a high-feel power forward at NBA size.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
38
83.6
30.6
65.3
60.7
39.1
138
+17.1
+17.1
7.6
157.7
+21.6
+0.46
100.0
+14.8
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
78.9
61.5
86.5
64.5
6.5
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
5.6
+5.1
2.5
2.2
22.1
2.0
-3.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1004
31.4
59.8
25.1
15.1
+12.0
-4.2
+14.8
+11.1
-3.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
60.1
0.0
62.6
40.9
48.1
8.0
39.2
77.5
102
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
83.5
69.2
33.0
23.0
16.5
102
81
38
26
17
Cooper Flagg
Zion Williamson
Marvin Bagley III
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.99s PASS
11.06s PASS
3.31s PASS
35 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
97.0
100.1
100.0 (20.7)
99.9 (26.9)
100.0 (26.6)
69.2 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
97.5 (7.3)
69.7 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. Duke roster bio · Duke 2025-26 cumulative statistics PDF
2
Interior big
Freshman
Tier 1
1-3
Scouting Lens
Caleb Wilson is a 6-10 freshman interior big from North Carolina, carrying +12.7 BPM, 28.8% usage, 61.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 3, PDF tag: Best 3&D shot blockers, 99.9% promise, 77.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Powerful driver who can put real pressure on the rim.
Finishes in traffic and can overwhelm defenders with physicality.
Destroys possessions as a rim runner and offensive rebounder.
Attacks with enough force to live at the free throw line.
Flashes promising footwork as a short-midrange scorer.
Can realistically guard 1-4 and unlock lineup flexibility.
Potential All-Defense caliber forward with great hands and a love for contesting shots.
Can fly into vertical contests and block jumpers.
Needs Work
Needs more avenues to be a shot creator.
Jumper is still a work in progress.
Right now the scoring profile leans heavily toward one-level rim pressure plus free throws.
Can post up, but should not be asked to run NBA offense from the elbows yet.
Not ready to handle an offense or operate as a primary distributor.
Needs to prove the short-midrange flashes can become reliable counters.
Must keep expanding the offensive skill package if he is going to access his best-player-in-class ceiling.
Scouting Write-Up
Wilson's foundation is rare because the physicality, hands, rim pressure, and defensive range all translate cleanly. He can drive through contact, finish in traffic, punish teams as a rim runner or offensive rebounder, and create enough free-throw pressure to matter even before the jumper arrives.
Defensively, he has a premium pathway. Wilson can credibly guard 1-4, contest with vertical pop, block jumpers, and give a coaching staff the kind of forward who can unlock aggressive lineup choices if the discipline and reads keep sharpening.
The offensive ceiling is the question. He is not the first big forward with elite defensive tools to need time growing into a fuller scorer, and the Franz Wagner, Pascal Siakam, and Jimmy Butler development arcs are reminders that work ethic can raise the roof; after going toe to toe with Boozer in a collegiate classic setting, Wilson has real avenues to becoming the best player in this class if the jumper, creation counters, and decision-making catch up.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Derik Queen, Ben Simmons, Marvin Bagley III, Evan Mobley
Player-centered hit rate
77.7% NBA hit rate (92/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 26.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 19.4% good-starter rate, and 10.7% star rate.
Board thesis
Caleb Wilson's case is built on elite forward defensive versatility, violent rim pressure, and the physical tools to unlock lineups as a potential All-Defense caliber frontcourt piece. The swing factor is whether his jumper, self-created scoring avenues, and offensive decision-making grow enough for him to become one of the best players in the class rather than a dominant finisher and defender.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
24
56.7
28.8
62.6
59.0
25.9
27
+12.7
+10.8
5.3
141.2
+15.2
+0.38
99.9
+6.9
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
71.3
61.0
59.6
72.3
2.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.6
+4.6
2.8
4.4
22.2
2.4
-1.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
505
28.3
57.2
17.4
12.2
+8.0
-2.7
+6.9
+5.1
-1.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
61.0
0.0
72.3
46.7
51.1
22.9
11.8
100.0
17
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
77.7
60.6
26.0
19.4
10.7
92
69
27
20
10
Derik Queen
Ben Simmons
Marvin Bagley III
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.11s PASS
11.17s PASS
3.23s PASS
39.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
95.4
100.1
99.9 (20.7)
99.8 (26.9)
97.3 (26.6)
61.5 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
95.8 (7.3)
62.5 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
3
Wing forward
Freshman
Tier 1
1-3
Scouting Lens
AJ Dybantsa is a 6-9 freshman wing forward from BYU, carrying +10.1 BPM, 33.5% usage, 56.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 2, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 99.7% promise, 64.3% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Most unguardable three-level shot creator in this class.
Strides through or around traffic with a Giannis-like ability to get to the rim or reach his spots.
Has a Jimmy Butler-style rocker step package and can vary pickup heights to keep defenders guessing.
Feasts in the midrange and is extremely difficult to guard one-on-one.
Owns the best back-to-the-basket pivot jumper footwork and pump-fake package in the class.
Scores from the post with ease and pairs pump fakes with step-through counters.
Pull-up jumper has solid long-term potential.
Showed poise and growth dealing with double teams when Richie Saunders went down and defensive attention increased.
Has the tools to become a capable starting forward defensively.
Needs Work
High-hipped defender who does not turn quickly enough.
Can be flat-footed or off-balance defensively.
Has not yet shown reliable ability to chase perimeter scorers around screens.
Defensive effort and fundamentals need to become more consistent.
Would benefit from a strong defensive ecosystem and culture.
Does not yet scare defenses as a passer; too many reads are basic kickouts or obvious openings.
Shot selection can get messy.
Scouting Write-Up
Dybantsa is the hardest pure shot creator to guard in the class. His stride length lets him flow through or around traffic, and once he gets to his spots he can beat defenders with midrange touch, post pivots, rocker steps, pump fakes, step-throughs, and variable pickup points.
The scoring package is unusually layered for a forward prospect. He can punish single coverage from the post, create separation into pull-ups, and showed real poise when BYU had to lean on him through heavier double teams after Richie Saunders went down.
The question is whether the rest of the profile catches up to the scoring talent. He has the tools to become a starting-caliber forward defender, but the high hips, screen navigation, balance, effort consistency, basic passing reads, and loose shot selection all need real refinement if he is going to be more than a dominant individual scorer.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Markelle Fultz, Malaki Branham, Brice Sensabaugh, Paolo Banchero
Player-centered hit rate
64.3% NBA hit rate (77/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 24.1% 5th/6th/7th rate, 15.0% good-starter rate, and 6.8% star rate.
Board thesis
AJ Dybantsa's case is built on being the most unguardable three-level shot creator in the class, with rare stride length, midrange comfort, post footwork, and one-on-one scoring counters. The swing factor is whether the passing, shot selection, and defensive consistency sharpen enough for him to become a true playoff engine instead of a brilliant individual scorer.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
86.6
33.5
60.0
55.0
33.1
148
+10.1
+9.2
6.6
147.2
+13.2
+0.32
99.7
+9.8
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
77.4
56.8
40.4
72.3
6.9
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.0
+1.1
1.7
1.1
16.9
1.4
-2.1
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1012
34.3
52.2
21.1
14.8
+8.4
-1.3
+9.8
+7.6
-2.1
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
53.4
0.0
65.5
18.9
46.0
5.5
32.6
66.7
129
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
64.3
51.1
24.1
15.0
6.8
77
59
30
19
9
Markelle Fultz
Malaki Branham
Brice Sensabaugh
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.99s PASS
11.06s PASS
3.14s PASS
42 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
94.8
100.1
99.7 (20.7)
98.8 (26.9)
98.7 (26.6)
30.8 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
100.0 (7.3)
62.7 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. NBA.com draft profile · BYU roster profile
4
Wing guard
Freshman
Tier 1
4-10
Scouting Lens
Darryn Peterson is a 6-5 freshman wing guard from Kansas, carrying +12.4 BPM, 30.9% usage, 48.7% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 4, PDF tag: Best 3&D shot blockers, 99.8% promise, 62.3% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Three-level scorer with the best mix of movement shooting, spot-ups, and pull-ups in this class.
Undeniable defender who can be a switchable go-to perimeter defender across the 1-3 range.
Ready-made 3&D scorer with a quick jumper and real off-ball value.
Superb athlete who can elevate against anyone when attacking in space.
Can leap early into midrange looks, helping him get shots off before contests fully arrive.
Comfortable movement shooter who makes sense as a late-clock priority even without needing the ball in his hands every possession.
Can swing between Donovan Mitchell, Jamal Murray, and Klay Thompson-style usage depending on the play.
Retreats into space calmly to evade traffic and keep the ball moving.
Needs Work
Needs to prove he can be more than an awesome 3&D scorer.
May need to play with a proper point guard if the full primary-creator package does not arrive.
Gets to the rim well, but does not yet show elite craft finishing against contests.
Slightly less comfortable dribbling with his non-dominant hand.
Does not have Anthony Edwards-level size or physicality as an inside-the-arc scorer.
Must prove he can consistently find teammates or on-balance shots inside 15 feet when defenses force him inward to be a go-to playoff engine.
Scouting Write-Up
Peterson has the cleanest three-level scoring blend in the class. He can hit movement threes, spot-ups, and pull-ups, and his quick jumper plus ability to rise early into midrange looks gives him a ready-made late-clock scoring package.
The two-way appeal is real because he is not just a shot-maker. Peterson can be a legitimate switchable perimeter defender across guards and wings, and on the right roster he would be terrifying playing off a Jokic-style hub because he can punish space without needing every touch to start in his hands.
The main question is whether he becomes a true go-to playoff perimeter scorer or lands as an excellent 3&D scorer who needs a high-level organizer next to him. He gets to the rim, but the finishing craft through contests, non-dominant-hand comfort, and physicality inside the arc still need to sharpen if defenses can force him inside and make him create openings within 15 feet.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF note says Peterson separates from Herro, Vassell, Monk, KCP, Tim Hardaway Jr. and CJ McCollum types because he creates more shots at the rim and in the mid-range, helping him sustain higher usage while still creating quality offense; only Brandon Ingram, Jamal Murray, Darryn Peterson and Brandon Miller create more than 75% of their twos unassisted in that filter. PDF note frames Peterson as a Jamal Murray style self-created three-level shot-maker who can keep adding point guard creation over time, and says Donovan Mitchell might be the closest upside comparison because Peterson is much further along as a freshman shot-maker than Mitchell was at the same age.
Tre Johnson, C.J. McCollum, Coby White, Tyler Hall
Player-centered hit rate
62.3% NBA hit rate (74/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 19.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 10.6% good-starter rate, and 3.6% star rate.
Board thesis
Darryn Peterson's case is built on the best three-level scoring mix in the class, with movement shooting, spot-ups, pull-ups, and real switchable perimeter defense all in one profile. The swing factor is whether he becomes a true playoff-level perimeter creator or settles in as an awesome 3&D scorer who needs a proper point guard next to him.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
24
49.4
30.9
57.8
52.7
38.2
165
+12.4
+11.5
4.7
139.4
+15.0
+0.07
99.8
+5.3
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
82.6
48.7
35.1
59.7
13.9
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.3
+4.0
2.9
2.3
11.8
2.1
-2.3
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
612
32.2
51.3
11.9
9.3
+6.5
-3.2
+5.3
+3.0
-2.3
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
45.5
0.0
51.9
14.8
42.6
16.3
38.4
74.1
151
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
62.3
44.3
19.6
10.6
3.6
74
51
23
11
5
Tre Johnson
C.J. McCollum
Coby White
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.95s PASS
11.17s PASS
3.16s PASS
37.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
91.8
100.1
99.8 (20.7)
96.5 (26.9)
96.0 (26.6)
46.2 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
68.1 (7.3)
64.2 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. NBA.com draft profile · Kansas roster profile
5
Combo guard
Freshman
Tier 1
4-10
Scouting Lens
Keaton Wagler is a 6-6 freshman combo guard from Illinois, carrying +11.0 BPM, 25.7% usage, 48.9% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 5, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 99.6% promise, 59.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Ready-made pull-up three with a nasty jab-cross setup as a go-to separation package.
Fantastic on-ball scoring feel with the handle and counters to string moves together.
Drives physically with his lead shoulder and off-arm, already creating paint touches and foul pressure before adding NBA strength.
Varies stride length and dribble tempo to keep defenders off balance.
Crushes doubles off screens with quick reads and confident passing decisions.
Fantastic vision for high-value passing windows.
Competes on the offensive glass for a guard.
Needs Work
Midrange package is still unpolished, especially as a late-clock counter.
Offers very little transition scoring pop right now.
May need a screen to create clean separation against NBA-level point-of-attack defenders.
Good team defender, but should not be projected as the primary defensive ace.
Needs added strength to finish through better contact without relying too heavily on foul calls.
Has to keep building counters for possessions where the pull-up three is taken away.
Scouting Write-Up
Wagler's appeal starts with a pull-up three that already looks like an NBA weapon. The jab-cross setup gives him a bankable way to create space, and he has enough handle, pacing, and counter work to string together moves instead of living on one action.
He is not just a shot-maker hunting jumpers. Wagler drives with real physicality, uses his lead shoulder and off-arm to create angles, varies his stride length and dribble tempo, and is already comfortable turning paint pressure into fouls or passes before his frame has fully matured.
The next layer is about diversifying the scoring map. His midrange game is not polished yet, he does not add much transition scoring force, and he may need screening help to separate from the best NBA defenders, so the upside case depends on whether he can become dangerous when the first pull-up or screen-created advantage is gone.
59.5% NBA hit rate (72/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 19.4% 5th/6th/7th rate, 11.6% good-starter rate, and 6.9% star rate.
Board thesis
Keaton Wagler's case is built on a ready-made pull-up three, advanced on-ball scoring craft, and the passing feel to punish help once defenses load up on his jumper. The swing factor is whether his midrange counters, transition scoring, and independent separation improve enough for him to drive primary-creator value without needing every advantage created by a screen.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
83.7
25.7
59.6
54.1
39.7
219
+11.0
+10.2
6.5
147.9
+12.7
+0.23
99.6
+12.9
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
79.6
48.9
62.1
57.5
10.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+2.8
1.7
1.3
10.0
2.3
-2.3
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
952
27.3
54.3
22.8
13.8
+10.2
-1.8
+12.9
+10.5
-2.3
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
46.7
0.0
55.4
12.9
32.4
9.1
41.7
45.7
168
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
59.5
38.7
19.4
11.6
6.9
72
47
21
11
6
Dylan Harper
Shamorie Ponds
D'Angelo Russell
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3s PASS
11.05s PASS
3.27s PASS
36 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
90.1
100.1
99.6 (20.7)
97.5 (26.9)
93.0 (26.6)
35.7 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
48.6 (7.3)
75.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
6
Scoring guard
Freshman
Tier 2
4-10
Scouting Lens
Kingston Flemings is a 6-4 freshman scoring guard from Houston, carrying +11.4 BPM, 26.5% usage, 50.3% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 7, PDF tag: Elite underclassmen vs top-50, 99.5% promise, 63.9% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Scoring guard
Tier
Tier 2
Draft Range
4-10
Path
Freshman
Team
Houston
Position
Guard
Final blend holdElite underclassmen vs top-50Elite vs top-100PDF note rank: 7NBA Draft CombineOfficial early-entry candidateAgility barometers: 4/4Barometer move: +1Top-75 2P holdTier 2FreshmanDraft range: 4-106-4HoustonPromise: 99.5%Model rank: 8
Strengths
Legitimate speedster with a clear reason De'Aaron Fox shows up in his comp set.
Excellent at rejecting screens in the Jordan Poole/Jalen Brunson style to catch defenders leaning.
Flashes a John Wall-like blend of power, skill, and speed control when he gets downhill.
Shows Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-type elevation and comfort getting to the midrange pull-up.
Very effective at finding rim-assist opportunities.
Can be a transition blur on the right team while still making high-level passes at full speed.
Fantastic on-ball defender with enough point-of-attack ability to be the best guard defender in a starting lineup.
Needs Work
Needs to get better playing through traffic when the first speed-based move does not win cleanly.
Can let defenders off the hook when they cut off his initial burst.
Should use his power moves and active off-arm more often when speed is neutralized.
Three-point shot is still a work in progress.
Release has some catapult action that could affect speed, repeatability, and NBA range consistency.
Needs to prove the half-court scoring package can stay efficient when transition chances are limited.
Scouting Write-Up
Flemings is one of the easiest guards in the class to understand from a pressure standpoint: he is fast, forceful, and comfortable turning a small angle into a collapsed defense. The Fox comp makes sense because of the burst, but there are also flashes of Poole and Brunson in how he rejects screens, plus some Wall-style power when he pairs speed with control.
The appeal is not just straight-line speed. Flemings can rise into the midrange with real balance, find rim-assist windows after he gets downhill, and make advanced passes while moving at full speed, which gives him a real offensive-engine pathway on the right roster.
The concern is what happens when the first burst does not solve the possession. He still has to get cleaner playing through traffic, use more power counters when defenders cut him off, and turn the three-point shot from a work in progress with some catapult action into a trustworthy NBA spacing weapon.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
Called an anomaly: does everything decently, nothing tremendously; jumper and true shot creation are question marks. Most comfortable among Flemings/Tanner/Flagg comparison as a mid-range creator in tight spaces.
PDF note comps
Cason Wallace, Cooper Flagg
Player-centered cluster comps
Tyty Washington Jr., Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nico Mannion, Markelle Fultz
Player-centered hit rate
63.9% NBA hit rate (76/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 22.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 16.7% good-starter rate, and 10.1% star rate.
Board thesis
Kingston Flemings' case is built on speed, pressure, and the kind of downhill guard creation that can tilt a defense before the help is set. The swing factor is whether his jumper, traffic finishing, and power counters get reliable enough to keep defenders from sitting on his first burst.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
78.9
26.5
56.3
52.0
38.7
106
+11.4
+10.5
5.0
137.7
+13.1
+0.11
99.5
+10.1
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
84.5
50.3
46.1
57.2
5.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.9
+5.2
3.0
1.3
12.9
2.5
-1.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
922
28.2
50.1
31.5
12.5
+7.4
-3.2
+10.1
+8.2
-1.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
47.8
0.0
53.9
17.4
42.9
8.6
38.6
55.9
88
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
63.9
43.0
22.8
16.7
10.1
76
52
27
18
11
Tyty Washington Jr.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Nico Mannion
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.69s PASS
10.61s PASS
3.07s PASS
40.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
21
114-238
47.9
-1.42
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
89.7
100.1
99.5 (20.7)
99.2 (26.9)
88.7 (26.6)
30.8 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
59.3 (7.3)
70.2 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
7
Wing guard
Freshman
Tier 2
4-10
Scouting Lens
Brayden Burries is a 6-4 freshman wing guard from Arizona, carrying +10.4 BPM, 21.6% usage, 56.2% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 8, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 99.0% promise, 70.8% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.5% from three in the tracked split, 8.6 3PA/100, and 80.5% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Creates real guard rim pressure: 56.2% rim frequency with 65.0% finishing.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.8% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 14.5% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.7.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +10.6 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Brayden Burries enters this board at No. 7 as a 6-4 freshman wing guard at Arizona. The data case starts with +10.4 BPM, 21.6% usage, 61.6% TS, 99.0% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 8, PDF tags him for Well-rounded u22 filter, 3&D second-side creators.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.8% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.5% from three in the tracked split, 8.6 3PA/100, and 80.5% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 56.2% on twos, 56.2% rim frequency, 65.0% at the rim, 8.6 3PA/100, 5.4 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +10.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 70.8% cluster NBA-hit rate, 48.7% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows; Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced. Local-note context: PDF compares to Ryan Rollins/Jase Richardson; solid player who can struggle creating quality shots inside against elite rim protectors. Also hits a Josh Hart/VJ Edgecombe/Caleb Martin style filter. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF compares to Ryan Rollins/Jase Richardson; solid player who can struggle creating quality shots inside against elite rim protectors. Also hits a Josh Hart/VJ Edgecombe/Caleb Martin style filter.
PDF note comps
Ryan Rollins, Jase Richardson, Josh Hart, V.J. Edgecombe
Player-centered cluster comps
Jase Richardson, Jared McCain, Tyler Herro, Ben McLemore
Player-centered hit rate
70.8% NBA hit rate (81/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 18.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 11.7% good-starter rate, and 5.2% star rate.
Board thesis
Brayden Burries' board case is that his shooting volume and movement indicators give him a scalable wing role. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
39
74.3
21.6
61.6
57.2
39.1
179
+10.4
+6.8
4.4
135.3
+9.6
+0.44
99.0
+10.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
80.5
56.2
56.2
65.0
8.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.7
+4.9
2.8
0.7
14.5
2.8
-4.3
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
917
21.8
54.1
12.8
11.2
+6.0
-4.0
+10.6
+6.3
-4.3
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
52.6
0.0
60.0
38.1
43.7
7.9
37.5
74.5
136
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
70.8
48.7
18.8
11.7
5.2
81
54
22
13
6
Jase Richardson
Jared McCain
Tyler Herro
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.92s PASS
10.59s PASS
3.21s PASS
38.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
26
83-166
50.0
-1.00
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
87.6
100.1
99.0 (20.7)
98.0 (26.9)
87.3 (26.6)
30.8 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
44.1 (7.3)
66.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
8
Scoring guard
Freshman
Tier 2
4-10
Scouting Lens
Darius Acuff Jr. is a 6-3 freshman scoring guard from Arkansas, carrying +8.9 BPM, 29.5% usage, 50.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 10, PDF tag: Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under), 98.9% promise, 56.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 41.8% from three in the tracked split, 9.0 3PA/100, 80.9% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes.
Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 8.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
On-ball creation is not just scoring; 32.2% assist rate with manageable turnover pressure gives him passing equity.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.5.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +9.1 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 10.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under).
Needs Work
As a smaller guard, he needs a major consistency/activity jump because the DRB, steal, DBPM, and defensive RAPM signals are not carrying the case.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Darius Acuff Jr. enters this board at No. 8 as a 6-3 freshman scoring guard at Arkansas. The data case starts with +8.9 BPM, 29.5% usage, 60.4% TS, 98.9% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 10, PDF tags him for Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under).
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.5. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 41.8% from three in the tracked split, 9.0 3PA/100, 80.9% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes; Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 8.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 50.8% on twos, 54.4% rim frequency, 59.7% at the rim, 9.0 3PA/100, 8.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +9.1 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 56.5% cluster NBA-hit rate, 39.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: As a smaller guard, he needs a major consistency/activity jump because the DRB, steal, DBPM, and defensive RAPM signals are not carrying the case; Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows. Local-note context: PDF note says not Flagg defensively, but Acuff and Flagg are the ones with over 200 rim attempts while Wagler is under 150. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF note says not Flagg defensively, but Acuff and Flagg are the ones with over 200 rim attempts while Wagler is under 150.
Player-centered cluster comps
Dylan Harper, Tre Johnson, Rob Dillingham, Shamorie Ponds
Player-centered hit rate
56.5% NBA hit rate (67/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 17.2% 5th/6th/7th rate, 11.7% good-starter rate, and 5.8% star rate.
Board thesis
Darius Acuff Jr.'s board case is that his creation is real enough to bend a defense on the ball while still scaling as a volume shooter. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
36
84.3
29.5
60.4
56.1
44.0
207
+8.9
+7.7
6.7
147.6
+10.8
+0.17
98.9
+9.1
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
80.9
50.8
54.4
59.7
9.0
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.5
+0.0
1.3
0.9
8.3
1.9
-0.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1021
31.5
54.2
32.4
11.4
+10.0
-0.1
+9.1
+8.9
-0.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
50.0
0.0
57.4
20.9
40.9
18.0
41.8
68.1
165
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
56.5
39.4
17.2
11.7
5.8
67
45
20
13
6
Dylan Harper
Tre Johnson
Rob Dillingham
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.93s PASS
10.99s PASS
3.06s PASS
36.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
23
130-267
48.7
-1.26
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
87.1
100.1
98.9 (20.7)
96.7 (26.9)
82.0 (26.6)
23.1 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
54.7 (7.3)
78.7 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
9
Scoring guard
Freshman
Tier 2
8-18
Scouting Lens
Ebuka Okorie is a 6-2 freshman scoring guard from Stanford, carrying +9.6 BPM, 30.1% usage, 52.6% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 13, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 99.3% promise, 55.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 9.7 3PA/100 with a 83.2% free-throw marker.
Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 10.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.7% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.7.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.3; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +7.8 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 13.
Needs Work
PDF note flags: should declare / uncertain.
PDF notes include creation/decision uncertainty that needs a live-scouting follow-up.
Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (56.2%).
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Ebuka Okorie enters this board at No. 9 as a 6-2 freshman scoring guard at Stanford. The data case starts with +9.6 BPM, 30.1% usage, 58.9% TS, 99.3% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 13, PDF tags him for Well-rounded u22 filter, Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under).
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.7% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 9.7 3PA/100 with a 83.2% free-throw marker; Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 10.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 52.6% on twos, 73.8% rim frequency, 56.2% at the rim, 9.7 3PA/100, 10.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +7.8 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 55.5% cluster NBA-hit rate, 34.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: PDF note flags: should declare / uncertain; PDF notes include creation/decision uncertainty that needs a live-scouting follow-up. Local-note context: PDF says Ebuka is a small guard who should declare but uncertainty remains. Hits Kemba Walker/Shamorie Ponds/Tyler Tanner-style filter. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF says Ebuka is a small guard who should declare but uncertainty remains. Hits Kemba Walker/Shamorie Ponds/Tyler Tanner-style filter.
55.5% NBA hit rate (65/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 21.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 14.7% good-starter rate, and 12.1% star rate.
Board thesis
Ebuka Okorie's board case is that his creation is real enough to bend a defense on the ball while still scaling as a volume shooter. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the rim finishing needs to firm up.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
31
82.2
30.1
58.9
52.8
35.4
178
+9.6
+9.1
6.3
144.5
+11.5
+0.29
99.3
+7.8
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
83.2
52.6
73.8
56.2
9.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.7
+1.6
2.7
1.0
10.3
1.6
-1.3
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
755
32.1
51.3
25.3
10.3
+8.0
-0.6
+7.8
+6.5
-1.3
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
50.4
0.0
54.5
13.2
39.7
12.0
35.2
34.9
122
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
55.5
34.5
21.7
14.7
12.1
65
36
17
10
6
Dylan Harper
Collin Sexton
Shamorie Ponds
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.96s PASS
10.71s PASS
3.26s PASS
37.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
15
89-174
51.1
-0.78
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
86.8
100.1
99.3 (20.7)
98.8 (26.9)
77.5 (26.6)
30.8 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
69.7 (7.3)
61.0 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
10
Interior big
Freshman
Tier 2
8-18
Scouting Lens
Hannes Steinbach is a 6-11 freshman interior big from Washington, carrying +9.0 BPM, 24.4% usage, 61.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 12, PDF tag: Elite underclassmen vs top-50, 99.1% promise, 74.0% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: unusual self-created volume for a frontcourt player at 5.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 66.0% rim frequency with 70.6% finishing.
Defensive glass should travel: 25.0% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.7.
DBPM is comfortably positive for the role (+1.9).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.8 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 12.
Needs Work
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (60.5% rim frequency, 73.8% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Hannes Steinbach enters this board at No. 10 as a 6-11 freshman interior big at Washington. The data case starts with +9.0 BPM, 24.4% usage, 63.6% TS, 99.1% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 12, PDF tags him for Elite underclassmen vs top-50.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Defensive glass should travel: 25.0% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: unusual self-created volume for a frontcourt player at 5.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 66.0% rim frequency with 70.6% finishing. The shot profile adds 61.8% on twos, 66.0% rim frequency, 70.6% at the rim, 3.0 3PA/100, 5.3 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.8 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 74.0% cluster NBA-hit rate, 56.6% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim; NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (60.5% rim frequency, 73.8% rim FG). Local-note context: PDF note points to Domantas Sabonis as a reference point for a similar age/profile. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF note points to Domantas Sabonis as a reference point for a similar age/profile.
PDF note comps
Domantas Sabonis
Player-centered cluster comps
Marvin Bagley III, Deandre Ayton, Asa Newell, TJ Leaf
Player-centered hit rate
74.0% NBA hit rate (83/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 19.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 13.1% good-starter rate, and 3.5% star rate.
Board thesis
Hannes Steinbach's board case is that his efficient interior finishing gives him a stable role hook if the defensive coverage holds. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
30
77.9
24.4
63.6
60.2
34.0
53
+9.0
+6.6
5.6
138.9
+10.5
+0.37
99.1
+8.8
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
75.9
61.8
66.0
70.6
3.0
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.7
+1.9
1.8
3.9
25.0
2.7
-1.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
817
23.5
62.8
6.5
13.0
+7.7
-1.8
+8.8
+7.1
-1.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
65.2
0.0
73.8
69.2
52.2
20.8
33.3
93.3
45
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
74.0
56.6
19.6
13.1
3.5
83
61
21
14
5
Marvin Bagley III
Deandre Ayton
Asa Newell
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.89s PASS
10.9s PASS
3.38s miss
35.5 Pass
3/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
17
107-166
64.5
+1.90
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
81.9
100.1
99.1 (20.7)
98.3 (26.9)
79.0 (26.6)
0.0 (3.2)
75.0 (9.4)
62.3 (7.3)
39.4 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
11
Scoring guard
Sophomore
Tier 2
8-18
Scouting Lens
Labaron Philon Jr. is a 6-4 sophomore scoring guard from Alabama, carrying +10.3 BPM, 29.9% usage, 57.4% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 14, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 98.6% promise, 43.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 40.0% from three in the tracked split, 10.7 3PA/100, 79.8% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes.
Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 9.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Creates real guard rim pressure: 61.0% rim frequency with 65.7% finishing.
On-ball creation is not just scoring; 31.9% assist rate with manageable turnover pressure gives him passing equity.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.0% STL).
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.3.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +9.4 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Labaron Philon Jr. enters this board at No. 11 as a 6-4 sophomore scoring guard at Alabama. The data case starts with +10.3 BPM, 29.9% usage, 62.6% TS, 98.6% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 14, PDF tags him for Well-rounded u22 filter, High-volume 3P creators with defense.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.0% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 40.0% from three in the tracked split, 10.7 3PA/100, 79.8% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes; Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 9.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 57.4% on twos, 61.0% rim frequency, 65.7% at the rim, 10.7 3PA/100, 9.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +9.4 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 43.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 19.3% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows; Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced. Local-note context: PDF groups Philon with Derrick White/Reggie Jackson guard indicators; natural scorer creating easy driving lanes. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF groups Philon with Derrick White/Reggie Jackson guard indicators; natural scorer creating easy driving lanes.
PDF note comps
Derrick White, Reggie Jackson
Player-centered cluster comps
Jaden Ivey, Jalen Brunson, Scotty Pippen Jr., Markus Howard
Player-centered hit rate
43.7% NBA hit rate (55/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 7.2% 5th/6th/7th rate, 5.2% good-starter rate, and 2.5% star rate.
Board thesis
Labaron Philon Jr.'s board case is that his creation is real enough to bend a defense on the ball while still scaling as a volume shooter. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
33
72.3
29.9
62.6
58.5
39.9
203
+10.3
+7.1
6.0
148.7
+8.8
+0.46
98.6
+9.4
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
79.8
57.4
61.0
65.7
10.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.3
+1.2
2.0
0.5
9.2
2.0
-0.5
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
892
31.7
57.3
30.0
13.9
+10.3
-0.5
+9.4
+8.9
-0.5
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
55.3
0.0
62.8
11.0
44.4
0.0
40.0
52.8
180
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
43.7
19.3
7.2
5.2
2.5
55
23
7
5
2
Jaden Ivey
Jalen Brunson
Scotty Pippen Jr.
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.13s PASS
11.55s miss
3.09s PASS
35 Pass
3/4
Shuttle, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
25
120-223
53.8
-0.24
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
80.3
100.1
98.6 (20.7)
84.5 (26.9)
76.0 (26.6)
28.6 (3.2)
75.0 (9.4)
58.7 (7.3)
80.2 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
12
Stretch frontcourt
Senior
Tier 2
8-18
Scouting Lens
Yaxel Lendeborg is a 6-9 senior stretch frontcourt from Michigan, carrying +15.1 BPM, 20.5% usage, 63.9% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 9, PDF tag: Best 3&D shot blockers, 94.6% promise, 44.8% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.1% from three in the tracked split, 8.4 3PA/100, and 82.4% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 3.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 74.5% rim frequency with 72.9% finishing.
Passing/connector indicators are present for a wing with a 18.0% assist rate.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 4.4% block rate.
Steal/block blend (2.1% STL, 4.4% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 5.0.
Needs Work
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Yaxel Lendeborg enters this board at No. 12 as a 6-9 senior stretch frontcourt at Michigan. The data case starts with +15.1 BPM, 20.5% usage, 64.7% TS, 94.6% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 9, PDF tags him for Best 3&D shot blockers, 3&D second-side creators.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 4.4% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.1% from three in the tracked split, 8.4 3PA/100, and 82.4% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 3.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 63.9% on twos, 74.5% rim frequency, 72.9% at the rim, 8.4 3PA/100, 3.7 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +14.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 44.8% cluster NBA-hit rate, 23.8% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection; Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role. Data-note context: Senior stretch four at Michigan (high-major the Big Ten), listed at 6-9, ~23.7 years old at season's end. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Corey Kispert, Cameron Johnson, Kobe Brown, Jordan Miller
Player-centered hit rate
44.8% NBA hit rate (54/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 7.5% 5th/6th/7th rate, 6.0% good-starter rate, and 1.2% star rate.
Board thesis
Yaxel Lendeborg's board case is that his frontcourt value comes from blending play-finishing with enough spacing skill to stay in modern lineups. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
40
75.1
20.5
64.7
60.2
37.2
180
+15.1
+5.6
5.8
148.3
+6.4
+0.04
94.6
+14.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
82.4
63.9
74.5
72.9
8.4
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
5.0
+5.9
2.1
4.4
16.0
2.3
-5.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1058
21.0
58.9
16.7
9.5
+8.9
-4.5
+14.6
+9.5
-5.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
61.6
0.0
68.7
56.7
44.4
25.0
37.1
81.4
159
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
44.8
23.8
7.5
6.0
1.2
54
27
8
6
1
Corey Kispert
Cameron Johnson
Kobe Brown
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.8s PASS
10.82s PASS
3.35s PASS
32 miss
3/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
29
100-163
61.3
+1.26
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
79.6
100.1
94.6 (20.7)
84.8 (26.9)
86.0 (26.6)
18.2 (3.2)
75.0 (9.4)
31.7 (7.3)
73.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
13
Wing guard
Sophomore
Tier 2
8-18
Scouting Lens
Cameron Carr is a 6-5 sophomore wing guard from Baylor, carrying +8.0 BPM, 24.3% usage, 58.7% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 11, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 89.5% promise, 45.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 36.8% from three in the tracked split, 10.6 3PA/100, 80.5% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes.
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 17.6% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.6.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.6 RAPM).
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 11.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for Well-rounded u22 filter.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense.
Needs Work
Primary-guard possessions need cleaner endings (17.1% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Cameron Carr enters this board at No. 13 as a 6-5 sophomore wing guard at Baylor. The data case starts with +8.0 BPM, 24.3% usage, 61.8% TS, 89.5% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 11, PDF tags him for Well-rounded u22 filter, High-volume 3P creators with defense.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Rebounds well for a guard, adding 17.6% defensive rebound rate to the possession game. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 36.8% from three in the tracked split, 10.6 3PA/100, 80.5% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes; Rebounds well for a guard, adding 17.6% defensive rebound rate to the possession game. The shot profile adds 58.7% on twos, 54.7% rim frequency, 68.0% at the rim, 10.6 3PA/100, 4.7 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 45.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 25.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Primary-guard possessions need cleaner endings (17.1% Hoop Explorer turnover rate); Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows. Local-note context: PDF filter links Carr to Mikal Bridges/Yaxel-style wing defensive tools; note says he is actually 6-4.5 with 7-1 wingspan. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF filter links Carr to Mikal Bridges/Yaxel-style wing defensive tools; note says he is actually 6-4.5 with 7-1 wingspan.
PDF note comps
Mikal Bridges, Yaxel Lendeborg
Player-centered cluster comps
Kevin Huerter, Bennedict Mathurin, Tyler Dorsey, Tyler Hall
Player-centered hit rate
45.7% NBA hit rate (56/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 10.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 3.8% good-starter rate, and 0.9% star rate.
Board thesis
Cameron Carr's board case is that his shooting volume and movement indicators give him a scalable wing role. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
33
84.4
24.3
61.8
57.6
37.6
205
+8.0
+2.8
4.8
133.2
+4.4
+0.07
89.5
+5.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
80.5
58.7
54.7
68.0
10.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.6
+1.6
1.6
3.9
17.6
2.3
-0.8
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
895
25.0
52.7
15.1
17.1
+4.2
-1.0
+5.6
+4.7
-0.8
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
50.3
0.0
60.5
51.9
39.8
21.2
36.8
67.2
166
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
45.7
25.5
10.8
3.8
0.9
56
30
12
4
1
Kevin Huerter
Bennedict Mathurin
Tyler Dorsey
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.8s PASS
10.46s PASS
3.17s PASS
42.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
21
65-129
50.4
-0.92
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
78.8
100.1
89.5 (20.7)
84.8 (26.9)
80.5 (26.6)
15.4 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
35.9 (7.3)
61.2 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
14
Wing forward
Freshman
Tier 2
8-18
Scouting Lens
Nate Ament is a 6-10 freshman wing forward from Tennessee, carrying +7.2 BPM, 27.8% usage, 43.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 19, 98.2% promise, 64.1% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 17.0% defensive rebounding.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
DBPM is comfortably positive for the role (+2.7).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.5 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 19.
PDF comps/context include Zaccharie Risacher, CJ McCollum.
Needs Work
Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (51.7%).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (43.0%).
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (33.7% on tracked midrange twos).
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Nate Ament enters this board as a 6-10 freshman wing forward at Tennessee. The data case starts with +7.2 BPM, 27.8% usage, 53.4% TS, a 96.8% promise score, and a top-20 PDF note rank. The season context matters too: he played through a tough right ankle and right knee injury combination down the stretch, maximizing every chance he had to get on the court.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defensive size, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. The BartTorvik wing-filter context brings up Jayson Tatum, Bradley Beal, and Jaylen Brown as useful high-end reference points for big perimeter scorers, with looser creation/physicality overlap to Cade Cunningham and Marcus Smart rather than one-to-one stylistic comps.
The swing points are still the two-point scoring details: 43.0% on twos, 51.7% at the rim, and 33.7% on tracked midrange twos all need to sharpen for the upside case to fully land. If the jumper, handle, and defensive versatility scale together, Ament has the size-skill profile to become more than a connective wing; if the finishing and middle game lag, the projection leans more toward a valuable but lower-touch lineup piece.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF note says Ament clears Risacher/KJ Simpson tier and fits around 17-20 in this deeper class. Shot-creation flashes from one of the youngest freshmen; Portland-style developmental fit mentioned.
PDF note comps
Zaccharie Risacher, CJ McCollum
BartTorvik wing-filter comps
Jayson Tatum, Bradley Beal, and Jaylen Brown are the cleaner high-end wing/scoring references from the supplied filters; Cade Cunningham and Marcus Smart are looser context references for creation, strength, and defensive playmaking rather than direct one-to-one comps.
Player-centered cluster comps
Jayson Tatum, Andrew Wiggins, Paolo Banchero, Keldon Johnson
Player-centered hit rate
47.0% NBA hit rate (47/100 neighbors), 14.0% good-starter rate, and 7.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Nate Ament's board case is that his wing size and secondary-skill mix can fit NBA lineups if one bankable offensive skill separates. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the two-point efficiency has to prove it can scale.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
69.5
27.8
53.4
45.2
33.3
138
+7.2
+6.0
3.8
129.6
+9.3
+0.22
98.2
+6.5
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
79.0
43.0
39.2
51.7
7.9
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+2.7
1.9
2.7
17.0
2.7
-2.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
864
28.0
44.1
15.1
15.1
+4.4
-2.5
+6.5
+3.6
-2.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
39.6
0.0
51.9
48.8
33.7
25.0
36.5
89.5
104
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
64.1
45.1
15.1
9.6
2.6
77
52
16
9
3
Moses Moody
Paolo Banchero
Brandon Ingram
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.85s PASS
11.27s PASS
3.26s PASS
37 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
23
76-198
38.4
-3.00
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
77.6
100.1
98.2 (20.7)
95.4 (26.9)
61.3 (26.6)
0.0 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
42.5 (7.3)
47.3 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. NBA.com draft profile · Tennessee roster profile
15
Point guard
Sophomore
Tier 3
12-24
Scouting Lens
Christian Anderson Jr. is a 6-3 sophomore point guard from Texas Tech, carrying +8.3 BPM, 25.2% usage, 55.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 16, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 97.1% promise, 33.2% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 38.9% from three in the tracked split, 12.1 3PA/100, 80.5% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 7.0 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.2% STL).
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.5.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.4; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +7.0 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 16.
Needs Work
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (23.1% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Christian Anderson Jr. enters this board at No. 15 as a 6-3 sophomore point guard at Texas Tech. The data case starts with +8.3 BPM, 25.2% usage, 62.6% TS, 97.1% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 16, PDF tags him for Well-rounded u22 filter, High-volume 3P creators with defense.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.2% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper has pull-up translation indicators: 38.9% from three in the tracked split, 12.1 3PA/100, 80.5% at the line, and meaningful unassisted three-point makes; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 7.0 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 55.8% on twos, 44.2% rim frequency, 72.4% at the rim, 12.1 3PA/100, 7.0 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +7.0 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 33.2% cluster NBA-hit rate, 17.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (23.1% Hoop Explorer turnover rate); Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows. Data-note context: Sophomore pass-first point guard at Texas Tech (high-major the Big 12), listed at 6-3, ~20.2 years old at season's end. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Jaylen Adams, Tre Mann, Brandin Podziemski, Markus Howard
Player-centered hit rate
33.2% NBA hit rate (44/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 4.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 2.3% good-starter rate, and 1.1% star rate.
Board thesis
Christian Anderson Jr.'s board case is that his creation is real enough to bend a defense on the ball while still scaling as a volume shooter. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
33
92.7
25.2
62.6
59.7
41.5
260
+8.3
+5.8
6.1
138.5
+7.2
+0.33
97.1
+7.0
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
80.5
55.8
44.2
72.4
12.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.5
+1.6
2.2
0.7
8.5
2.1
-1.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
966
26.0
57.3
33.7
23.1
+5.1
-1.4
+7.0
+5.5
-1.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
55.6
0.0
75.0
10.3
41.7
3.3
38.9
36.4
198
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
33.2
17.4
4.6
2.3
1.1
44
24
7
4
2
Jaylen Adams
Tre Mann
Brandin Podziemski
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.85s PASS
10.85s PASS
3.18s PASS
40.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
22
60-107
56.1
+0.22
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
76.7
100.1
97.1 (20.7)
75.1 (26.9)
66.3 (26.6)
21.4 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
43.2 (7.3)
93.1 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
16
Stretch frontcourt
Freshman
Tier 3
12-24
Scouting Lens
Allen Graves is a 6-9 freshman stretch frontcourt from Santa Clara, carrying +12.7 BPM, 22.4% usage, 56.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 15, PDF tag: Elite underclassmen vs top-50, 99.6% promise, 69.4% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 64.9% rim frequency with 63.3% finishing.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 5.0% block rate.
Steal/block blend (4.9% STL, 5.0% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive glass should travel: 20.0% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.8 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 15.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (5.3 FC/40).
Production translation should be checked carefully against high-major length and athleticism.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Allen Graves enters this board at No. 16 as a 6-9 freshman stretch frontcourt at Santa Clara. The data case starts with +12.7 BPM, 22.4% usage, 61.5% TS, 99.6% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 15, PDF tags him for Elite underclassmen vs top-50, Allen Graves defensive connector filter.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 5.0% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 64.9% rim frequency with 63.3% finishing. The shot profile adds 56.8% on twos, 64.9% rim frequency, 63.3% at the rim, 6.7 3PA/100, 4.3 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.8 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 69.4% cluster NBA-hit rate, 51.9% established rate, 2/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (5.3 FC/40); Production translation should be checked carefully against high-major length and athleticism. Local-note context: PDF filters link Allen Graves with De'Anthony Melton/Alex Caruso/GP2/Jae Crowder indicators and a separate Allen/Yaxel combo filter. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF filters link Allen Graves with De'Anthony Melton/Alex Caruso/GP2/Jae Crowder indicators and a separate Allen/Yaxel combo filter.
PDF note comps
De'Anthony Melton, Alex Caruso, Gary Payton II, Jae Crowder
69.4% NBA hit rate (86/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 20.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 12.0% good-starter rate, and 5.7% star rate.
Board thesis
Allen Graves' board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
34
57.0
22.4
61.5
58.2
40.7
91
+12.7
+10.8
4.1
144.5
+12.0
+0.44
99.6
+6.8
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
75.0
56.8
64.9
63.3
6.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.1
+4.2
4.9
5.0
20.0
5.3
-0.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
Medium
427
23.2
54.8
15.5
7.0
+8.3
-2.0
+6.8
+5.9
-0.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
Medium
53.8
0.0
62.3
51.2
37.8
28.6
38.0
100.0
50
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
69.4
51.9
20.0
12.0
5.7
86
63
26
16
8
V.J. Edgecombe
Zhaire Smith
Keegan Murray
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.18s PASS
11.76s miss
3.44s miss
34 Pass
2/4
Shuttle, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
11
32-62
51.6
-0.68
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
76.6
100.1
99.6 (20.7)
98.3 (26.9)
68.0 (26.6)
0.0 (3.2)
50.0 (9.4)
51.8 (7.3)
51.5 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
17
Scoring guard
Freshman
Tier 3
12-24
Scouting Lens
Mikel Brown Jr. is a 6-5 freshman scoring guard from Louisville, carrying +5.4 BPM, 31.0% usage, 50.4% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 21, PDF tag: Elite vs top-100, 38.8% player-centered NBA hit rate, 14.7 3PA per 100 possessions.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Scoring guard
Tier
Tier 3
Draft Range
12-24
Path
Freshman
Team
Louisville
Position
Guard
Final blend move: +2Elite vs top-100High-volume 3P creators with defenseOfficial early-entry candidateAgility barometers: 4/4Barometer move: +1Top-75 2P move: +1PDF note rank: 21NBA Draft CombineTier 3Freshman6-5Louisville
Strengths
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 14.7 3PA/100 with a 84.4% free-throw marker.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Creates real guard rim pressure: 63.7% rim frequency with 65.3% finishing.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.4% STL).
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 12.1% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.7.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+4.2 RAPM).
Needs Work
Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (33.9% in the tracked split).
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (26.7% on tracked midrange twos).
Primary-guard possessions need cleaner endings (17.5% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Mikel Brown Jr. enters this board at No. 17 as a 6-5 freshman scoring guard at Louisville. The data case starts with +5.4 BPM, 31.0% usage, 57.7% TS, +4.2 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 21, PDF tags him for Elite vs top-100, High-volume 3P creators with defense.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.4% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 14.7 3PA/100 with a 84.4% free-throw marker; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 50.4% on twos, 63.7% rim frequency, 65.3% at the rim, 14.7 3PA/100, 6.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +4.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 38.8% cluster NBA-hit rate, 20.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (33.9% in the tracked split); Middle-game efficiency needs polish (26.7% on tracked midrange twos). The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
92.1% using BartTorvik 2025-26 all-opponent row.
Player-centered cluster comps
Anthony Edwards, Tremont Waters, Keyonte George, Coby White
Player-centered hit rate
38.8% NBA hit rate (47/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 10.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 6.7% good-starter rate, and 4.8% star rate.
Draft status
Freshman
Source
NBA official early-entry update
Board thesis
Mikel Brown Jr.'s board case is that his shooting volume gives him a clean off-ball pathway even if NBA touches come down. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood has real NBA and established-player density and the cluster has some star-tail outcomes; the counterweight is that the regular promise pool is incomplete for him.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Louisville
6-5
Freshman
NBA official early-entry update
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
84.4
50.4
63.7
65.3
14.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.7
+1.2
2.4
0.5
12.1
2.2
-1.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
435
31.8
50.7
28.4
17.5
+4.7
-1.6
+4.2
+3.0
-1.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
50.6
0.0
63.6
25.7
26.7
0.0
33.9
52.5
118
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
38.8
20.4
10.0
6.7
4.8
47
23
10
5
3
Anthony Edwards
Tremont Waters
Keyonte George
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.89s PASS
10.57s PASS
3.24s PASS
39.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Manual Promise Score
Source
Scout
Age BPM
FC/40
Foul Penalty
Promise Score
Promise%
Method
BartTorvik 2025-26 all-opponent row
+6.48
+3.4
2.2
-0.00
+1.538
92.1
Scout percentile fallback
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
12
39-78
50.0
-1.00
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
75.1
100.1
92.1 (20.7)
88.9 (26.9)
58.0 (26.6)
7.7 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
44.8 (7.3)
64.5 (6)
Manual official entrant. This player is not scored by the current college-only SportsAnalytics model. Hoop Explorer context is included when matched. NBA official early-entry update
18
Interior big
Sophomore
Tier 3
12-24
Scouting Lens
Morez Johnson Jr. is a 6-9 sophomore interior big from Michigan, carrying +10.1 BPM, 21.1% usage, 65.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 17, PDF tag: Best 3&D shot blockers, 98.0% promise, 44.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 80.9% rim frequency with 72.9% finishing.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 4.8% block rate.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
Box-score defense is strong with a +4.4 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.9 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 17.
Needs Work
Defensive value may be optimized more in drop coverage than in aggressive hedge/switch schemes because the steal activity is modest.
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.7 FC/40).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (74.2% rim frequency, 71.1% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Morez Johnson Jr. enters this board at No. 18 as a 6-9 sophomore interior big at Michigan. The data case starts with +10.1 BPM, 21.1% usage, 67.7% TS, 98.0% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 17, PDF tags him for Best 3&D shot blockers, Elite underclassmen vs top-50.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 4.8% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 80.9% rim frequency with 72.9% finishing. The shot profile adds 65.8% on twos, 80.9% rim frequency, 72.9% at the rim, 1.9 3PA/100, 3.4 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.9 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 44.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 25.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Defensive value may be optimized more in drop coverage than in aggressive hedge/switch schemes because the steal activity is modest; Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.7 FC/40). Local-note context: Better offensive option than Rasheer Fleming at the same college stage; less developed from 3 but better as paint finisher in Michigan system. Hits a Donovan Clingan/Zion Williamson style rim-finishing defensive filter. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
Better offensive option than Rasheer Fleming at the same college stage; less developed from 3 but better as paint finisher in Michigan system. Hits a Donovan Clingan/Zion Williamson style rim-finishing defensive filter.
PDF note comps
Donovan Clingan, Zion Williamson, Rasheer Fleming
Player-centered cluster comps
Xavier Tillman, Ryan Kalkbrenner, Jalen Smith, Drew Timme
Player-centered hit rate
44.7% NBA hit rate (51/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 4.5% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.9% good-starter rate, and 1.2% star rate.
Board thesis
Morez Johnson Jr.'s board case is that his efficient interior finishing gives him a stable role hook if the defensive coverage holds. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
40
62.6
21.1
67.7
64.2
34.3
35
+10.1
+7.2
4.3
142.4
+9.0
+0.20
98.0
+8.9
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
78.2
65.8
80.9
72.9
1.9
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+4.4
1.5
4.8
18.9
3.7
-3.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
872
21.1
60.4
9.5
14.0
+7.2
-4.2
+8.9
+5.5
-3.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
62.7
0.0
71.1
73.2
38.3
21.7
29.0
100.0
31
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
44.7
25.4
4.5
1.9
1.2
51
26
6
2
1
Xavier Tillman
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Jalen Smith
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.91s PASS
10.59s PASS
3.17s PASS
39 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
29
122-198
61.6
+1.32
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
73.0
100.1
98.0 (20.7)
81.0 (26.9)
64.7 (26.6)
7.7 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
39.2 (7.3)
20.8 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
19
Wing forward
Junior
Tier 3
12-24
Scouting Lens
Dailyn Swain is a 6-8 junior wing forward from Texas, carrying +9.5 BPM, 25.5% usage, 59.6% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 20, PDF tag: Well-rounded u22 filter, 97.2% promise, 37.0% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: high-end self-created volume for a wing at 8.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 71.9% rim frequency with 64.3% finishing.
Passing/connector indicators are present for a wing with a 21.3% assist rate.
Active hands create defensive playmaking value with a 2.8% steal rate.
Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 20.7% defensive rebounding.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 4.0.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +7.5 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (19.0% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Dailyn Swain enters this board at No. 19 as a 6-8 junior wing forward at Texas. The data case starts with +9.5 BPM, 25.5% usage, 63.3% TS, 97.2% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 20, PDF tags him for Well-rounded u22 filter, Elite vs top-100.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Active hands create defensive playmaking value with a 2.8% steal rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: high-end self-created volume for a wing at 8.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 71.9% rim frequency with 64.3% finishing. The shot profile adds 59.6% on twos, 71.9% rim frequency, 64.3% at the rim, 4.7 3PA/100, 8.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +7.5 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 37.0% cluster NBA-hit rate, 14.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (19.0% Hoop Explorer turnover rate); Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role. Data-note context: Junior wing forward at Texas (high-major the SEC), listed at 6-8, ~21.0 years old at season's end. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Quinndary Weatherspoon, Jaylon Tyson, Jamir Watkins, Jalen Williams
Player-centered hit rate
37.0% NBA hit rate (42/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 3.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 3.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Dailyn Swain's board case is that his wing creation gives him more upside than a pure connector. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
81.9
25.5
63.3
57.8
34.8
92
+9.5
+5.6
4.9
135.2
+7.0
+0.39
97.2
+7.5
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
81.3
59.6
71.9
64.3
4.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.0
+2.9
2.8
1.0
20.7
2.7
-1.5
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
918
26.4
56.6
20.3
19.0
+6.8
-1.6
+7.5
+6.0
-1.5
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
57.1
0.0
61.9
14.6
47.4
2.7
36.6
50.0
71
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
37.0
14.5
3.7
3.0
0.0
42
16
4
3
0
Quinndary Weatherspoon
Jaylon Tyson
Jamir Watkins
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.08s PASS
11.25s PASS
3.21s PASS
36.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
24
121-212
57.1
+0.42
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
72.7
100.1
97.2 (20.7)
71.5 (26.9)
59.7 (26.6)
15.4 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
68.9 (7.3)
43.3 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
20
Rim-protecting center
Junior
Tier 3
12-24
Scouting Lens
Aday Mara is a 7-3 junior rim-protecting center from Michigan, carrying +12.7 BPM, 23.8% usage, 68.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 6, 99.7% promise, 40.0% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 67.4% rim frequency with 81.1% finishing.
Frontcourt passing gives him more than a play-finisher lane with a 19.0% assist rate.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 12.0% block rate.
Defensive glass should travel: 20.4% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.1.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.2 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Defensive value may be optimized more in drop coverage than in aggressive hedge/switch schemes because the steal activity is modest.
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.8 FC/40).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (56.4%).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (19.5% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Combine athletic testing lagged the PDF barometers (0/4).
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
Scouting Write-Up
Aday Mara enters this board at No. 20 as a 7-3 junior rim-protecting center at Michigan. The data case starts with +12.7 BPM, 23.8% usage, 65.8% TS, 99.7% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 6.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 12.0% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 67.4% rim frequency with 81.1% finishing. The shot profile adds 68.0% on twos, 67.4% rim frequency, 81.1% at the rim, 0.6 3PA/100, 4.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 40.0% cluster NBA-hit rate, 16.7% established rate, 0/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Defensive value may be optimized more in drop coverage than in aggressive hedge/switch schemes because the steal activity is modest; Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.8 FC/40). Local-note context: Compared to Embiid, Clingan, Queta, later Edey, and freshman Ayton when accounting for dunks/rim finishing and stocks/foul ratio. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
Compared to Embiid, Clingan, Queta, later Edey, and freshman Ayton when accounting for dunks/rim finishing and stocks/foul ratio.
PDF note comps
Joel Embiid, Donovan Clingan, Neemias Queta, Zach Edey
Player-centered cluster comps
Jay Huff, Jordan Bell, Brandon Clarke, Johni Broome
Player-centered hit rate
40.0% NBA hit rate (49/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.9% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Aday Mara's board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the promise model sees top-end translation; the counterweight is that the athletic testing did not support the projection.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
40
58.3
23.8
65.8
67.3
30.0
10
+12.7
+8.3
3.4
133.8
+10.7
+0.77
99.7
+8.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
56.4
68.0
67.4
81.1
0.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.1
+7.6
0.8
12.0
20.4
3.8
-3.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
822
23.7
66.9
19.1
19.5
+5.2
-4.9
+8.2
+4.4
-3.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
67.5
0.0
77.6
73.4
48.3
28.6
33.3
100.0
9
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
40.0
16.7
1.8
0.9
0.0
49
20
2
1
0
Jay Huff
Jordan Bell
Brandon Clarke
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.36s miss
11.47s miss
3.61s miss
28 miss
0/4
None
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
29
149-225
66.2
+2.24
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
68.3
100.1
99.7 (20.7)
68.3 (26.9)
90.0 (26.6)
0.0 (3.2)
0.0 (9.4)
48.5 (7.3)
30.4 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
21
Scoring guard
Senior
Tier 4
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Bennett Stirtz is a 6-4 senior scoring guard from Iowa, carrying +9.1 BPM, 26.1% usage, 59.1% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 18, PDF tag: High-volume 3P creators with defense, 75.9% promise, 32.9% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 11.7 3PA/100 with a 84.8% free-throw marker.
Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 8.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.3% STL).
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.4.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.9; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +9.6 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Strong local-note placement with a PDF rank of 18.
Needs Work
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Bennett Stirtz enters this board at No. 21 as a 6-4 senior scoring guard at Iowa. The data case starts with +9.1 BPM, 26.1% usage, 60.7% TS, 75.9% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 18, PDF tags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense, Well-Rounded Playmakers.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.3% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 11.7 3PA/100 with a 84.8% free-throw marker; Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 8.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 59.1% on twos, 51.7% rim frequency, 70.5% at the rim, 11.7 3PA/100, 8.3 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +9.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 32.9% cluster NBA-hit rate, 18.9% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection; Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows. Local-note context: PDF groups Stirtz with Philon; Stirtz offers more game-management point guard traits, while Philon is more scoring oriented. Does not have the same 3-point shot-making as some comps but fits Brunson/Stirtz style filters. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF groups Stirtz with Philon; Stirtz offers more game-management point guard traits, while Philon is more scoring oriented. Does not have the same 3-point shot-making as some comps but fits Brunson/Stirtz style filters.
PDF note comps
Jalen Brunson, Bruce Thornton
Player-centered cluster comps
Walter Clayton Jr., Yogi Ferrell, Jerian Grant, Jordan Ford
Player-centered hit rate
32.9% NBA hit rate (36/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 3.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 3.2% good-starter rate, and 0.5% star rate.
Board thesis
Bennett Stirtz's board case is that his creation is real enough to bend a defense on the ball while still scaling as a volume shooter. He belongs in this range because the PDF rank already treats him as a top-board talent and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
94.0
26.1
60.7
56.5
35.8
257
+9.1
+1.6
6.2
139.6
+2.0
+0.05
75.9
+9.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
84.8
59.1
51.7
70.5
11.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.4
+1.9
2.3
0.9
8.7
2.1
-1.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1085
28.2
55.3
23.4
11.7
+7.6
-1.4
+9.6
+7.7
-1.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
57.1
0.0
71.2
28.4
43.5
10.6
35.7
43.4
213
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
32.9
18.9
3.7
3.2
0.5
36
18
5
4
1
Walter Clayton Jr.
Yogi Ferrell
Jerian Grant
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.91s PASS
11.25s PASS
3.17s PASS
37.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
22
85-150
56.7
+0.34
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
1-21
65.1
100.1
75.9 (20.7)
74.8 (26.9)
63.0 (26.6)
23.1 (3.2)
100.0 (9.4)
41.4 (7.3)
83.8 (6)
Senior primary-handler residual discount: -5.6
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. BartTorvik senior defensive/efficiency filter · NBA official Draft Combine participants
22
Interior big
Senior
Tier 4
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Zuby Ejiofor is a 6-9 senior interior big from St. John's, carrying +13.5 BPM, 26.4% usage, 58.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 25, PDF tag: Best 3&D shot blockers, 98.3% promise, 34.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.6 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 67.5% rim frequency with 65.6% finishing.
Frontcourt passing gives him more than a play-finisher lane with a 23.0% assist rate.
Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 7.2% block rate, 2.2% steal rate, and 3.2 FC/40.
Steal/block blend (2.2% STL, 7.2% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.5.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +9.9 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Defensive rebounding needs to be sturdier for a big-minute frontcourt role (14.7% DRB).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Because he creates events away from the rim (2.2% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (75.2% rim frequency, 61.3% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Zuby Ejiofor enters this board at No. 22 as a 6-9 senior interior big at St. John's. The data case starts with +13.5 BPM, 26.4% usage, 60.9% TS, 98.3% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 25, PDF tags him for Best 3&D shot blockers, Elite vs top-100.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 7.2% block rate, 2.2% steal rate, and 3.2 FC/40. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.6 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 67.5% rim frequency with 65.6% finishing. The shot profile adds 58.0% on twos, 67.5% rim frequency, 65.6% at the rim, 3.0 3PA/100, 4.6 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +9.9 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 34.5% cluster NBA-hit rate, 10.6% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Defensive rebounding needs to be sturdier for a big-minute frontcourt role (14.7% DRB); Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill. Data-note context: Senior power forward/center at St. John's (high-major the Big East), listed at 6-9, ~22.2 years old at season's end. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Juwan Morgan, Moses Wright, Josh Oduro, Gary Clark
Player-centered hit rate
34.5% NBA hit rate (43/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 2.2% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.5% good-starter rate, and 1.5% star rate.
Board thesis
Zuby Ejiofor's board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the promise model sees top-end translation and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
74.7
26.4
60.9
56.0
30.5
59
+13.5
+7.1
5.0
140.2
+8.4
+0.46
98.3
+9.9
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
71.8
58.0
67.5
65.6
3.0
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.5
+5.4
2.2
7.2
14.7
3.2
-3.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
982
26.9
56.5
24.2
14.4
+8.1
-3.5
+9.9
+6.7
-3.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
58.2
0.0
61.3
58.5
48.6
38.2
32.1
83.3
56
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
34.5
10.6
2.2
1.5
1.5
43
14
3
2
2
Juwan Morgan
Moses Wright
Josh Oduro
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.76s PASS
11.05s PASS
3.2s PASS
38 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
20
103-177
58.2
+0.64
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
65.4
100.0
98.3 (18.4)
68.1 (25.6)
37.5 (23.9)
18.2 (4.3)
100.0 (14.2)
45.9 (7.6)
40.1 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
23
Wing guard
Sophomore
Tier 5
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Isaiah Evans is a 6-6 sophomore wing guard from Duke, carrying +8.2 BPM, 21.8% usage, 56.7% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 24, PDF tag: High-volume 3P creators with defense, 94.0% promise, 55.1% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Wing guard
Tier
Tier 5
Draft Range
Late 1st
Path
Sophomore
Team
Duke
Position
Wing
Final blend move: +4High-volume 3P creators with defensePDF note rank: 24NBA Draft CombineOfficial early-entry candidateAgility barometers: 3/4Barometer move: -3Top-75 2P holdTier 5SophomoreDraft range: Late 1st6-6DukePromise: 94.0%Model rank: 35
Strengths
Legitimate off-ball movement shooter: the high 3PA/100 rate, mostly assisted three-point diet, 36.9% three-point shooting, and 86.0% free-throw marker all point toward a jumper that can scale without heavy self-created touches.
Comfortable relocating, spacing, and punishing defensive attention as a catch-and-shoot threat.
Good finisher for a wing guard, including value created by timing cuts and attacking openings after the defense bends.
Creates real rim pressure within the role: 60.0% rim frequency with 68.9% finishing in the tracked split.
Defensive PORPAGATU and Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM support the idea that he can give value on both ends.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense.
Production foundation is strong for a sophomore wing guard: +8.2 BPM with a +5.1 age-adjusted BPM.
Needs Work
Still needs cleaner evidence that the pull-up jumper can become a primary weapon rather than a counter.
Has to prove the self-created offense scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows and run him off the line.
Handle, passing reads, and late-clock creation need to keep improving if teams ask him to create beyond movement shooting, cutting, and secondary attacks.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Isaiah Evans' profile should start with his off-ball value, not treat it as a fallback. The film shows a real movement shooter, and the data backs that up: his high 3PA/100 rate, mostly assisted three-point diet, 36.9% three-point shooting, and 86.0% free-throw marker all point toward a jumper that can translate in a lower-touch NBA role.
The appeal is not only spot-up shooting. Evans is also a good finisher for a wing guard, and part of that comes from cutting, timing, and attacking openings after the first advantage is created. The tracked profile adds 60.0% rim frequency and 68.9% rim finishing, while his defensive indicators give him a plausible two-way pathway.
The swing question is how much on-ball creation sits on top of that scalable base. He still has to prove the pull-up jumper, handle, passing reads, and late-clock creation can survive NBA length, but the movement shooting, cutting, finishing, and defensive context give him a cleaner role pathway than a pure primary-creator lens would suggest.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Jordan Hawkins, Tyler Dorsey, Tony Snell, Zach Norvell Jr.
Player-centered hit rate
55.1% NBA hit rate (67/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 10.1% 5th/6th/7th rate, 4.2% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Isaiah Evans' board case is that his off-ball shooting profile gives him a scalable NBA wing-guard role before asking him to be a primary creator. The combination of high three-point volume, mostly assisted makes, strong touch indicators, cutting value, and real finishing gives him a cleaner movement-shooter pathway than the raw on-ball creation question alone suggests.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
38
70.5
21.8
59.0
55.0
36.1
280
+8.2
+5.1
3.9
132.7
+6.9
-0.14
94.0
+10.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
86.0
56.7
60.0
68.9
15.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.1
+2.4
1.5
2.9
10.7
1.7
-3.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
849
21.8
55.8
6.9
8.4
+6.3
-3.1
+10.6
+7.2
-3.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
56.6
0.0
66.7
41.3
43.4
30.4
36.9
87.8
222
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
55.1
30.0
10.1
4.2
0.0
67
37
13
5
0
Jordan Hawkins
Tyler Dorsey
Tony Snell
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.89s PASS
11.87s miss
3.18s PASS
35.5 Pass
3/4
Shuttle, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
25
58-105
55.2
+0.04
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
64.7
100.0
94.0 (18.4)
86.6 (25.6)
39.0 (23.9)
6.7 (4.3)
75.0 (14.2)
32.2 (7.6)
41.5 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
24
Combo guard
Freshman
Tier 5
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Meleek Thomas is a 6-5 freshman combo guard from Arkansas, carrying +5.9 BPM, 22.1% usage, 44.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 29, PDF tag: Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under), 89.0% promise, 48.9% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 42.3% from three in the tracked split, 9.6 3PA/100, and 84.3% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.8% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.4.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.2; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.9 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under).
Needs Work
Rim frequency is light for a frontcourt prospect (43.3% of two-point attempts).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (44.8%).
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (33.6% on tracked midrange twos).
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Meleek Thomas enters this board at No. 24 as a 6-5 freshman combo guard at Arkansas. The data case starts with +5.9 BPM, 22.1% usage, 55.9% TS, 89.0% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 29, PDF tags him for Freshman Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under).
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.8% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 42.3% from three in the tracked split, 9.6 3PA/100, and 84.3% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 44.8% on twos, 43.3% rim frequency, 59.0% at the rim, 9.6 3PA/100, 5.4 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.9 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 48.9% cluster NBA-hit rate, 32.7% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Rim frequency is light for a frontcourt prospect (43.3% of two-point attempts); Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (44.8%). Local-note context: PDF says he entered draft process while maintaining eligibility; TBD/return-school risk. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF says he entered draft process while maintaining eligibility; TBD/return-school risk.
Player-centered cluster comps
Luke Kennard, Shamorie Ponds, Tre Johnson, Langston Galloway
Player-centered hit rate
48.9% NBA hit rate (58/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 7.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 3.9% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Meleek Thomas' board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the player-centered neighborhood has real NBA and established-player density; the counterweight is that the two-point efficiency has to prove it can scale.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
75.2
22.1
55.9
52.2
41.6
197
+5.9
+4.1
3.9
129.6
+6.8
-0.46
89.0
+6.9
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
84.3
44.8
43.3
59.0
9.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.4
+1.6
2.8
0.6
10.8
2.7
-1.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
904
21.5
52.2
10.7
8.1
+5.1
-1.1
+6.9
+5.7
-1.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
45.2
0.0
60.6
29.8
33.6
28.6
42.3
70.7
137
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
48.9
32.7
7.6
3.9
0.0
58
36
10
5
0
Luke Kennard
Shamorie Ponds
Tre Johnson
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.97s PASS
11.57s miss
3.22s PASS
38 Pass
3/4
Shuttle, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
24
76-179
42.5
-2.50
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
62.5
100.0
89.0 (18.4)
84.9 (25.6)
31.5 (23.9)
15.4 (4.3)
75.0 (14.2)
34.1 (7.6)
50.0 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
25
Interior big
Freshman
Tier 5
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Chris Cenac Jr. is a 6-11 freshman interior big from Houston, carrying +6.1 BPM, 19.5% usage, 55.1% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 36, 96.9% promise, 60.4% player-centered NBA hit rate, low rim frequency (34.6% of 2PA).
Defensive glass should travel: 26.1% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
DBPM is comfortably positive for the role (+3.0).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.3 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +6.1 BPM.
Strong pedigree signal with a 99.0 recruiting rank marker.
Player-centered cluster is live: 60.4% NBA hit rate, 40.4% established rate, and 6.7% good-starter rate.
Needs Work
Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (2.6% BLK).
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.7 FC/40).
Low rim frequency in the collected shot data (34.6% of two-point attempts).
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (62.1%).
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (28.5% rim frequency, 84.4% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Chris Cenac Jr. enters this board at No. 25 as a 6-11 freshman interior big at Houston. The data case starts with +6.1 BPM, 19.5% usage, 54.6% TS, 96.9% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 36.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Defensive glass should travel: 26.1% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions. The strongest parts of the case are: Defensive glass should travel: 26.1% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions; Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2. The shot profile adds 55.1% on twos, 34.6% rim frequency, 77.5% at the rim, 6.1 3PA/100, 2.4 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.3 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 60.4% cluster NBA-hit rate, 40.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (2.6% BLK); Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.7 FC/40). Local-note context: PDF note says Cenac is entering the draft and marks him TBD in board list. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF note says Cenac is entering the draft and marks him TBD in board list.
Player-centered cluster comps
Jarace Walker, Jeremy Sochan, Dean Wade, Julian Champagnie
Player-centered hit rate
60.4% NBA hit rate (72/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 10.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 6.7% good-starter rate, and 1.5% star rate.
Board thesis
Chris Cenac Jr.'s board case is that his frontcourt value comes from blending play-finishing with enough spacing skill to stay in modern lineups. He belongs in this range because the promise model sees top-end translation and the player-centered neighborhood has real NBA and established-player density; the counterweight is that the shot diet does not create enough rim pressure yet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
61.8
19.5
54.6
53.6
33.3
90
+6.1
+5.3
2.5
121.7
+8.7
-0.05
96.9
+8.3
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
62.1
55.1
34.6
77.5
6.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+3.0
1.9
2.6
26.1
3.7
-4.1
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
719
19.0
53.5
5.3
9.0
+3.3
-4.6
+8.3
+4.2
-4.1
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
57.0
0.0
84.4
79.0
46.0
61.5
30.6
100.0
72
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
60.4
40.4
10.7
6.7
1.5
72
47
13
9
2
Jarace Walker
Jeremy Sochan
Dean Wade
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.84s PASS
10.76s PASS
3.27s PASS
37 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
21
64-117
54.7
-0.06
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
62.3
100.0
96.9 (18.4)
91.4 (25.6)
13.7 (23.9)
0.0 (4.3)
100.0 (14.2)
30.4 (7.6)
21.6 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
26
Wing forward
Freshman
Tier 5
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Koa Peat is a 6-8 freshman wing forward from Arizona, carrying +7.4 BPM, 24.4% usage, 53.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 34, 98.7% promise, 61.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.6 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 56.0% rim frequency with 69.7% finishing.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.0.
Box-score defense is strong with a +3.1 DBPM.
Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM supports the stop-side case (-4.4; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.2 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +7.4 BPM.
Needs Work
PDF note flags: return-to-school lean.
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (62.3%).
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Koa Peat enters this board at No. 26 as a 6-8 freshman wing forward at Arizona. The data case starts with +7.4 BPM, 24.4% usage, 55.7% TS, 98.7% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 34.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.0. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.6 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 56.0% rim frequency with 69.7% finishing. The shot profile adds 53.8% on twos, 56.0% rim frequency, 69.7% at the rim, 1.1 3PA/100, 4.6 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 61.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 45.4% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: PDF note flags: return-to-school lean; Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill. Local-note context: PDF expects/urges Koa to return to school because he is far from being an NBA-level offensive factor. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
PDF note
PDF expects/urges Koa to return to school because he is far from being an NBA-level offensive factor.
Player-centered cluster comps
Jalen Smith, Justin Jackson, Elias Harris, PJ Washington
Player-centered hit rate
61.6% NBA hit rate (74/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 11.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 6.9% good-starter rate, and 0.6% star rate.
Board thesis
Koa Peat's board case is that his size, rim pressure, and finishing give him a useful connector-forward base. He belongs in this range because the promise model sees top-end translation and the player-centered neighborhood has real NBA and established-player density; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
36
63.9
24.4
55.7
53.7
35.0
20
+7.4
+6.5
3.6
129.4
+9.6
+0.33
98.7
+8.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
62.3
53.8
56.0
69.7
1.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.0
+3.1
1.3
2.5
12.5
3.2
-4.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
769
23.9
53.1
15.0
12.4
+4.2
-3.8
+8.2
+3.8
-4.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
52.7
0.0
66.9
74.7
40.3
30.0
41.7
100.0
12
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
61.6
45.4
11.7
6.9
0.6
74
54
15
9
1
Jalen Smith
Justin Jackson
Elias Harris
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.39s miss
11s PASS
3.16s PASS
37.5 Pass
3/4
Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
23
122-232
52.6
-0.48
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
62.1
100.0
98.7 (18.4)
92.0 (25.6)
17.0 (23.9)
0.0 (4.3)
75.0 (14.2)
41.9 (7.6)
41.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
27
Rim-protecting center
Sophomore
Tier 5
Late 1st
Scouting Lens
Jayden Quaintance is a 6-10 sophomore rim-protecting center from Kentucky, carrying +0.6 BPM, 19.5% usage, 60.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 22, PDF tag: Jayden rim-protection filter, 35.4% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.0 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 71.0% rim frequency with 69.9% finishing.
Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 9.8% block rate, 2.2% steal rate, and 3.0 FC/40.
Steal/block blend (2.2% STL, 9.8% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM supports the stop-side case (-3.1; lower is better).
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+3.6 RAPM).
PDF-note bucket also flags him for Jayden rim-protection filter.
Needs Work
PDF note flags: return-to-school lean.
D-PRPG is below the preferred draft-board defensive baseline (2.4).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (47.9%).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (20.9% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Because he creates events away from the rim (2.2% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (71.0% rim frequency, 69.9% rim FG).
Scouting Write-Up
Jayden Quaintance enters this board at No. 27 as a 6-10 sophomore rim-protecting center at Kentucky. The data case starts with +0.6 BPM, 19.5% usage, 53.6% TS, +3.6 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 22, PDF tags him for Jayden rim-protection filter.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 9.8% block rate, 2.2% steal rate, and 3.0 FC/40. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.0 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 71.0% rim frequency with 69.9% finishing. The shot profile adds 60.0% on twos, 71.0% rim frequency, 69.9% at the rim, 2.6 3PA/100, 3.0 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +3.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 35.4% cluster NBA-hit rate, 22.5% established rate, 2/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: PDF note flags: return-to-school lean; D-PRPG is below the preferred draft-board defensive baseline (2.4). Local-note context: PDF note says he should enter next year's draft: get healthy, work on jumper, and potentially go top 5 with the right year. Compared with Thomas Sorber/Robert Williams style outcomes. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
92.3% using BartTorvik 2024-25 freshman stats.
Player-centered cluster comps
Robert Williams, Xavier Cooks, Andre Drummond, Jalen Duren
Player-centered hit rate
35.4% NBA hit rate (42/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 7.3% 5th/6th/7th rate, 4.3% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
PDF note
PDF note says he should enter next year's draft: get healthy, work on jumper, and potentially go top 5 with the right year. Compared with Thomas Sorber/Robert Williams style outcomes.
PDF note comps
Thomas Sorber, Robert Williams, Nerlens Noel, Jordan Bell
Draft status
Sophomore
Source
NBA official early-entry update
Board thesis
Jayden Quaintance's board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood has real NBA and established-player density; the counterweight is that the regular promise pool is incomplete for him.
Bruce Thornton is a 6-2 senior combo guard from Ohio St., carrying +11.6 BPM, 23.2% usage, 64.1% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 28, PDF tag: Bruce Thornton guard efficiency filter, 90.2% promise, 39.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 8.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Two-point efficiency gives the role a sturdy base at 64.1%.
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 13.5% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM supports the stop-side case (-2.5; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +10.7 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for Bruce Thornton guard efficiency filter.
Needs Work
Rim frequency is light for a frontcourt prospect (35.9% of two-point attempts).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Bruce Thornton enters this board at No. 28 as a 6-2 senior combo guard at Ohio St.. The data case starts with +11.6 BPM, 23.2% usage, 66.5% TS, 90.2% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 28, PDF tags him for Bruce Thornton guard efficiency filter, Well-Rounded Playmakers.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Rebounds well for a guard, adding 13.5% defensive rebound rate to the possession game. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: primary-level self-created shot volume at 8.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Two-point efficiency gives the role a sturdy base at 64.1%. The shot profile adds 64.1% on twos, 35.9% rim frequency, 75.5% at the rim, 7.5 3PA/100, 8.7 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +10.7 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 39.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 18.4% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Rim frequency is light for a frontcourt prospect (35.9% of two-point attempts); Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection. Local-note context: 14 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 0 blocks and 6 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. Right-hand dominant working from left side; best true paint-touch drives and best dimes are with right hand. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
14 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 0 blocks and 6 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
JaQuori McLaughlin, Jalen Pickett, Charles Jenkins, Jerian Grant
Player-centered hit rate
39.7% NBA hit rate (48/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 5.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 4.5% good-starter rate, and 1.6% star rate.
Board thesis
Bruce Thornton's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
34
90.3
23.2
66.5
62.6
40.0
155
+11.6
+4.0
7.2
150.1
+4.2
+0.14
90.2
+10.7
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
82.9
64.1
35.9
75.5
7.5
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+2.7
1.9
0.8
13.5
2.0
-2.5
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1015
25.6
59.5
21.1
9.0
+9.7
-1.6
+10.7
+8.2
-2.5
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
61.9
0.0
74.1
12.7
55.2
16.5
36.7
63.8
128
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
39.7
18.4
5.8
4.5
1.6
48
22
7
5
2
JaQuori McLaughlin
Jalen Pickett
Charles Jenkins
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
43.2
14
7
7.4
5
3
2
0
6
5
4-10
1-5
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.01s PASS
11.55s miss
3.25s PASS
35.5 Pass
3/4
Shuttle, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
20
107-179
59.8
+0.96
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
58.2
100.0
90.2 (18.4)
81.0 (25.6)
33.0 (23.9)
15.4 (4.3)
75.0 (14.2)
43.0 (7.6)
72.0 (6)
Senior primary-handler residual discount: -6.0
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. BartTorvik senior defensive/efficiency filter · NBA official Draft Combine participants
29
International wing
International
Tier 5
Late 1st-early 2nd
Scouting Lens
Karim Lopez is a 6-8 international wing from New Zealand Breakers (Australia), carrying 19.5% usage, 58.2% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 23, 48.4% promise, 29.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 18.7% defensive rebounding.
PDF comps/context include Gui Santos.
Player-centered cluster is live: 29.6% NBA hit rate, 20.5% established rate, and 2.0% good-starter rate.
Cleared all four combine agility barometers.
International promise layer grades him at 48.4%.
Wing/forward size gives the profile multiple lineup pathways.
Needs Work
PDF notes raise defensive discipline/impact concerns that should temper the tools case.
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.5 FC/40).
Tracking-based opponent splits and RAPM need confirmation once Hoop Explorer matching is available.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Tracking-based opponent splits need a future confirmation pass.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Karim Lopez enters this board at No. 29 as a 6-8 international wing at New Zealand Breakers (Australia). The data case starts with 19.5% usage, 58.6% TS, 48.4% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 23.
The NBA pathway has to be judged through pro-league translation rather than a clean college-stat mirror. Defensively, Wing defensive event profile pops: 2.3% steal rate and 4.0% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Wing defensive event profile pops: 2.3% steal rate and 4.0% block rate; Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 18.7% defensive rebounding. The shot profile adds 58.2% on twos. Outcome context adds 29.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 20.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: PDF notes raise defensive discipline/impact concerns that should temper the tools case; Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.5 FC/40). Local-note context: Compared to a new Gui Santos with better league context, more verticality as a shot blocker and finisher. PDF filter note says likely qualifies with Allen Graves group but flags him as the worst defender and more foul-prone than Gui at the same age. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection. The separate international impact layer checks in at 6.0% historical NBA-hit rate.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
77.0% using RealGM 2025-26 AUS NBL stats.
International impact promise
26.9% supplemental impact promise, 6.0% historical NBA-hit rate, and 2.0% historical established rate.
International impact comps
Quimari Peterson, Kenny Noland, Donovan Oday, Ryan Beasley
Projected college player-centered cluster comps
Justin Edwards, Chuma Okeke, Georges Niang, Johnny Furphy
Projected college player-centered hit rate
29.6% NBA hit rate (39/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 2.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 2.0% good-starter rate, and 0.7% star rate.
International promise
48.4% separate non-BPM promise score after a 2.1 point foul-discipline adjustment.
PDF note
Compared to a new Gui Santos with better league context, more verticality as a shot blocker and finisher. PDF filter note says likely qualifies with Allen Graves group but flags him as the worst defender and more foul-prone than Gui at the same age.
PDF note comps
Gui Santos
Draft status
2007 DOB
Source
NBA official early-entry update
Board thesis
Karim Lopez's board case is that his pro-league skill package can translate through shooting, decision-making, and impact context without over-penalizing the missing college-only inputs. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the main check is still cross-context translation and missing college tracking data.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
New Zealand Breakers (Australia)
6-8
2007 DOB
NBA official early-entry update
Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
73.9
58.2
No data
No data
No data
International Stat Context
Source
GP
MIN
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
FT%
2P%
AST%
TOV%
STL%
BLK%
FC/40
BPM
PORPAG
ORtg
DRtg
RealGM 2025-26 AUS NBL stats
30
25.6
19.5
58.6
54.9
32.2
73.9
58.2
10.8
13.1
2.3
4.0
4.5
116.0
109.5
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
2.3
4.0
18.7
4.5
International Promise Score
Score
Raw
FC/40
Foul Penalty
Coverage
Pool
Method
48.4
50.5
4.54
-2.1
100.0
462
International non-BPM blend
International Promise Components
Component
Weight
Score
Used
Missing
Age / Role
15.0
96.8
Age: 90; Class Age: 100; Role Size: 100
Efficiency / Usage
20.0
49.6
ORtg: 46; TS%: 58; eFG%: 58; Usage x Efficiency: 36
Shot Profile
20.0
49.1
3P%: 37; FT%: 40; 2P%: 71
3PA/100, Rim Freq, Rim FG%
Playmaking
12.0
35.4
AST%: 30; TOV%: 66; AST/TOV: 10
Defensive Playmaking
15.0
61.5
STL+BLK: 83; STL%: 62; BLK%: 82; DRtg: 19
Impact Context
18.0
15.6
Net Rating: 24; On-Off / RAPM: 7
International Impact Context
Source
Impact Promise
Reliability
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
On-Off / PM
Hist NBA Hit
Hist Est.
Nearest Prospect 1
Nearest Prospect 2
Nearest Prospect 3
RealGM efficiency plus Sofascore 2025-26 NBL +/- proxy
Henri Veesaar is a 7-0 junior stretch frontcourt from North Carolina, carrying +9.6 BPM, 22.7% usage, 67.7% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 33, 87.0% promise, 33.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 65.3% rim frequency with 75.3% finishing.
Defensive glass should travel: 21.9% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
Box-score defense is strong with a +3.1 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +10.6 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Production foundation is strong: +9.6 BPM with +3.1 age-adjusted BPM.
Needs Work
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (61.5%).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Henri Veesaar enters this board at No. 30 as a 7-0 junior stretch frontcourt at North Carolina. The data case starts with +9.6 BPM, 22.7% usage, 66.4% TS, 87.0% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 33.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Defensive glass should travel: 21.9% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 65.3% rim frequency with 75.3% finishing. The shot profile adds 67.7% on twos, 65.3% rim frequency, 75.3% at the rim, 5.6 3PA/100, 4.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +10.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 33.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 18.1% established rate, 2/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (61.5%); Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Hunter Dickinson, Patrick Patterson, Frank Kaminsky, Maxime Raynaud
Player-centered hit rate
33.7% NBA hit rate (41/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 5.9% 5th/6th/7th rate, 4.0% good-starter rate, and 0.7% star rate.
Board thesis
Henri Veesaar's board case is that his frontcourt value comes from blending play-finishing with enough spacing skill to stay in modern lineups. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the best skill still has to survive a smaller NBA role.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
31
73.5
22.7
66.4
66.7
42.6
94
+9.6
+3.1
4.7
136.1
+4.5
-0.08
87.0
+10.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
61.5
67.7
65.3
75.3
5.6
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+3.1
1.1
3.8
21.9
3.2
-3.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
715
23.4
65.7
13.8
13.7
+6.3
-2.3
+10.6
+6.7
-3.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
67.8
0.0
73.8
61.1
55.2
46.9
40.3
93.1
72
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
33.7
18.1
5.9
4.0
0.7
41
21
7
5
1
Hunter Dickinson
Patrick Patterson
Frank Kaminsky
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.92s PASS
11.2s PASS
3.42s miss
32.5 miss
2/4
Shuttle, Lane agility
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
17
91-136
66.9
+2.38
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
53.3
100.0
87.0 (18.4)
77.5 (25.6)
18.7 (23.9)
0.0 (4.3)
50.0 (14.2)
44.3 (7.6)
42.5 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
31
Wing forward
Senior
Tier 5
Late 1st-early 2nd
Scouting Lens
Joshua Jefferson is a 6-9 senior wing forward from Iowa St., carrying +11.6 BPM, 28.6% usage, 51.7% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 49, 91.7% promise, 44.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 21.8% defensive rebounding.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 5.1.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.6 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Production foundation is strong: +11.6 BPM with +4.4 age-adjusted BPM.
Needs Work
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (26.3% on tracked midrange twos).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (18.4% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Joshua Jefferson enters this board at No. 31 as a 6-9 senior wing forward at Iowa St.. The data case starts with +11.6 BPM, 28.6% usage, 56.0% TS, 91.7% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 49.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Wing defensive event profile pops: 3.1% steal rate and 3.4% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 5.2 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Passing/connector indicators are present for a wing with a 27.7% assist rate. The shot profile adds 51.7% on twos, 58.9% rim frequency, 60.7% at the rim, 5.9 3PA/100, 5.2 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 44.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 20.2% established rate, 2/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Middle-game efficiency needs polish (26.3% on tracked midrange twos); Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (18.4% Hoop Explorer turnover rate). Data-note context: Senior wing forward at Iowa St. (high-major the Big 12), listed at 6-9, ~22.6 years old at season's end. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Draymond Green, Jalen Slawson, Landry Fields, Alex Morales
Player-centered hit rate
44.6% NBA hit rate (53/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 5.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 3.8% good-starter rate, and 1.6% star rate.
Board thesis
Joshua Jefferson's board case is that his wing creation gives him more upside than a pure connector. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the player-centered neighborhood has real NBA and established-player density; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
73.1
28.6
56.0
51.7
34.5
110
+11.6
+4.4
4.4
133.3
+5.2
+0.04
91.7
+8.6
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
70.0
51.7
58.9
60.7
5.9
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
5.1
+5.5
3.1
3.4
21.8
3.0
-3.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
877
29.4
48.4
27.3
18.4
+4.0
-4.4
+8.6
+4.7
-3.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
47.5
0.0
57.3
38.3
26.3
20.0
33.7
93.8
95
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
44.6
20.2
5.8
3.8
1.6
53
24
6
4
1
Draymond Green
Jalen Slawson
Landry Fields
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Baba Miller is a 6-11 senior interior big from Cincinnati, carrying +8.5 BPM, 22.3% usage, 60.5% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 37, 77.0% promise, 27.1% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Two-point efficiency gives the role a sturdy base at 60.5%.
Frontcourt passing gives him more than a play-finisher lane with a 23.3% assist rate.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 4.2% block rate.
Defensive glass should travel: 27.7% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 5.2.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.3 RAPM).
Needs Work
Defensive value may be optimized more in drop coverage than in aggressive hedge/switch schemes because the steal activity is modest.
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (65.8%).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (20.0% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (58.0% rim frequency, 63.8% rim FG).
Scouting Write-Up
Baba Miller enters this board at No. 32 as a 6-11 senior interior big at Cincinnati. The data case starts with +8.5 BPM, 22.3% usage, 57.6% TS, 77.0% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 37.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 4.2% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Two-point efficiency gives the role a sturdy base at 60.5%. The shot profile adds 60.5% on twos, 63.2% rim frequency, 71.5% at the rim, 3.0 3PA/100, 3.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.3 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 27.1% cluster NBA-hit rate, 6.7% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Defensive value may be optimized more in drop coverage than in aggressive hedge/switch schemes because the steal activity is modest; Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill. Local-note context: 33 points, 15 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, 0 blocks and 0 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
33 points, 15 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals, 0 blocks and 0 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
27.1% NBA hit rate (33/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.8% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Baba Miller's board case is that his efficient interior finishing gives him a stable role hook if the defensive coverage holds. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
31
74.6
22.3
57.6
54.6
19.2
52
+8.5
+1.7
3.3
122.2
+2.4
-0.00
77.0
+5.3
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
65.8
60.5
63.2
71.5
3.0
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
5.2
+5.3
1.3
4.2
27.7
2.9
-3.8
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
748
22.7
50.0
24.6
20.0
+2.3
-3.5
+5.3
+1.5
-3.8
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
55.6
0.0
63.8
56.7
44.1
26.7
19.1
100.0
42
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
27.1
6.7
1.8
1.8
0.0
33
8
2
2
0
Trevor Booker
Jerrelle Benimon
Malcolm Thomas
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
42.7
33
16.5
34.1
15
5
2
0
0
10
10-19
3-7
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Emanuel Sharp is a 6-3 senior combo guard from Houston, carrying +9.4 BPM, 23.2% usage, 47.9% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 41, 82.4% promise, 25.1% player-centered NBA hit rate, low rim frequency (32.7% of 2PA).
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 14.8 3PA/100 with a 89.1% free-throw marker.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.5% STL).
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.3.
Box-score defense is strong with a +3.8 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.2 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Production foundation is strong: +9.4 BPM with +2.8 age-adjusted BPM.
Projectable season-long shooting signal: 37.2% from three on 261 attempts.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.1 FC/40).
Most tracked threes are assisted, so the pull-up shooting claim still needs cleaner evidence.
Low rim frequency in the collected shot data (32.7% of two-point attempts).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (47.9%).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Scouting Write-Up
Emanuel Sharp enters this board at No. 33 as a 6-3 senior combo guard at Houston. The data case starts with +9.4 BPM, 23.2% usage, 58.2% TS, 82.4% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 41.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.5% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 14.8 3PA/100 with a 89.1% free-throw marker; Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.5% STL). The shot profile adds 47.9% on twos, 32.7% rim frequency, 66.7% at the rim, 14.8 3PA/100, 3.6 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 25.1% cluster NBA-hit rate, 12.3% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.1 FC/40); Most tracked threes are assisted, so the pull-up shooting claim still needs cleaner evidence. Local-note context: 27 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 4 steals, 0 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
27 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 4 steals, 0 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
25.1% NBA hit rate (30/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 3.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 2.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Emanuel Sharp's board case is that his shooting volume gives him a clean off-ball pathway even if NBA touches come down. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
73.3
23.2
58.2
52.7
37.2
261
+9.4
+2.8
4.5
136.5
+2.7
+0.12
82.4
+8.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
89.1
47.9
32.7
66.7
14.8
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.3
+3.8
2.5
0.4
8.6
4.1
-3.9
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
863
22.9
48.8
10.0
6.9
+4.8
-3.0
+8.2
+4.3
-3.9
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
44.1
0.0
57.1
50.0
37.6
15.6
34.4
84.7
209
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
25.1
12.3
3.6
2.0
0.0
30
15
4
2
0
Grayson Allen
Darrun Hilliard
Langston Galloway
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
44.7
27
13.5
16.1
6
4
4
0
4
0
7-21
5-17
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Ja'Kobi Gillespie is a 6-1 senior point guard from Tennessee, carrying +9.9 BPM, 25.7% usage, 49.4% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 42, PDF tag: High-volume 3P creators with defense, 78.3% promise, 28.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 14.1 3PA/100 with a 81.4% free-throw marker.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
On-ball creation is not just scoring; 30.2% assist rate with manageable turnover pressure gives him passing equity.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.6% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.8.
Box-score defense is strong with a +3.9 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +10.0 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (33.2% in the tracked split).
He gets downhill often, but the finishing has to withstand NBA size (58.3% at the rim).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (49.4%).
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (31.2% on tracked midrange twos).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Scouting Write-Up
Ja'Kobi Gillespie enters this board at No. 34 as a 6-1 senior point guard at Tennessee. The data case starts with +9.9 BPM, 25.7% usage, 53.8% TS, 78.3% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 42, PDF tags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense, Sophomore Guard Shot Creation Filter (6-6 and under).
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.6% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 14.1 3PA/100 with a 81.4% free-throw marker; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 49.4% on twos, 62.5% rim frequency, 58.3% at the rim, 14.1 3PA/100, 5.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +10.0 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 28.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 13.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (33.2% in the tracked split); He gets downhill often, but the finishing has to withstand NBA size (58.3% at the rim). Local-note context: 43 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists, 3 steals, 1 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
43 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists, 3 steals, 1 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Sean Pedulla, Payton Pritchard, Grayson Allen, Marcus Sasser
Player-centered hit rate
28.6% NBA hit rate (33/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 4.2% 5th/6th/7th rate, 3.5% good-starter rate, and 0.6% star rate.
Board thesis
Ja'Kobi Gillespie's board case is that his shooting volume gives him a clean off-ball pathway even if NBA touches come down. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
37
86.0
25.7
53.8
50.1
33.8
305
+9.9
+3.3
5.0
134.3
+3.3
-0.14
78.3
+10.0
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
81.4
49.4
62.5
58.3
14.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.8
+3.9
3.6
0.8
7.2
2.6
-2.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1084
25.9
48.1
27.5
13.6
+6.0
-2.5
+10.0
+7.7
-2.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
46.3
0.0
56.6
32.5
31.2
10.3
33.2
68.7
250
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
28.6
13.5
4.2
3.5
0.6
33
16
4
3
1
Sean Pedulla
Payton Pritchard
Grayson Allen
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
53.8
43
21.5
31.5
5
8
3
1
4
20
15-29
8-16
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Sergio de Larrea is a 6-6 international playmaker from Valencia (Spain), carrying 22.1% usage, 47.5% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 30, 59.1% promise, 11.9% player-centered NBA hit rate, 8.5 3PA per 100 possessions.
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 8.5 3PA/100 with a 81.5% free-throw marker.
Projectable season-long shooting signal: 39.2% from three on 171 attempts.
International promise layer grades him at 59.1%.
Two-point profile gives a concrete efficiency marker (47.5%).
Box-score indicators support a credible NBA translation case.
Statistical profile creates enough signal for a deeper scouting review.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.4 FC/40).
Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (53.1%).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (47.5%).
Tracking-based opponent splits and RAPM need confirmation once Hoop Explorer matching is available.
NBA role depends on how the best skills scale against longer, faster defenders.
Tracking-based opponent splits need a future confirmation pass.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Sergio de Larrea enters this board at No. 35 as a 6-6 international playmaker at Valencia (Spain). The data case starts with 22.1% usage, 59.6% TS, 59.1% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 30.
The NBA pathway has to be judged through pro-league translation rather than a clean college-stat mirror. Defensively, Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.4 FC/40). The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 8.5 3PA/100 with a 81.5% free-throw marker; Projectable season-long shooting signal: 39.2% from three on 171 attempts. The shot profile adds 47.5% on twos, 78.5% rim frequency, 53.1% at the rim, 8.5 3PA/100. Outcome context adds 11.9% cluster NBA-hit rate, 2.1% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.4 FC/40); Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (53.1%). The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection. The separate international impact layer checks in at 1.0% historical NBA-hit rate.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
67.7% using RealGM 2025-26 international stats.
International impact promise
48.4% supplemental impact promise, 1.0% historical NBA-hit rate, and 0.0% historical established rate.
International impact comps
Boopie Miller, Nick Boyd, Labaron Philon, Andrew Meadow
Projected college player-centered cluster comps
Rayjon Tucker, Lamar Patterson, Davon Reed, Willie Warren
Projected college player-centered hit rate
11.9% NBA hit rate (16/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
International promise
59.1% separate non-BPM promise score after a 1.7 point foul-discipline adjustment.
Draft status
2005 DOB
Source
NBA official early-entry update
Board thesis
Sergio de Larrea's board case is that his pro-league skill package can translate through shooting, decision-making, and impact context without over-penalizing the missing college-only inputs. He belongs in this range because multiple project inputs point in the same direction; the counterweight is that the main check is still cross-context translation and missing college tracking data.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Valencia (Spain)
6-6
2005 DOB
NBA official early-entry update
Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
81.5
47.5
78.5
53.1
8.5
International Stat Context
Source
GP
MIN
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
FT%
2P%
AST%
TOV%
STL%
BLK%
FC/40
BPM
PORPAG
ORtg
DRtg
RealGM 2025-26 international stats
70
14.7
22.1
59.6
53.0
39.2
81.5
47.5
27.0
19.3
1.8
1.8
4.4
119.9
113.9
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
1.8
1.8
11.3
4.4
International Promise Score
Score
Raw
FC/40
Foul Penalty
Coverage
Pool
Method
59.1
60.8
4.37
-1.7
100.0
462
International non-BPM blend
International Promise Components
Component
Weight
Score
Used
Missing
Age / Role
15.0
88.4
Age: 77; Class Age: 88; Role Size: 100
Efficiency / Usage
20.0
62.3
ORtg: 68; TS%: 66; eFG%: 43; Usage x Efficiency: 72
Shot Profile
20.0
55.4
3P%: 83; 3PA/100: 66; FT%: 76; 2P%: 14; Rim Freq: 81; Rim FG%: 13
Playmaking
12.0
57.5
AST%: 90; TOV%: 10; AST/TOV: 73
Defensive Playmaking
15.0
32.5
STL+BLK: 38; STL%: 36; BLK%: 54; DRtg: 2
Impact Context
18.0
68.2
Net Rating: 68
On-Off / RAPM
International Impact Context
Source
Impact Promise
Reliability
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
On-Off / PM
Hist NBA Hit
Hist Est.
Nearest Prospect 1
Nearest Prospect 2
Nearest Prospect 3
RealGM efficiency plus 3StepsBasket 2025-26 ACB and Euroleague on-court net rating
Estimated agility proxy (international schedule excused)
85% est. pass, 72%-99%
60% est. pass, 41%-78%
91% est. pass, 81%-100%
92% est. pass, 82%-100%
3.3/4 est.
2.8-3.8/4
Estimated from proxy
Manual Promise Score
Source
Scout
Age BPM
FC/40
Foul Penalty
Promise Score
Promise%
Method
RealGM 2025-26 international stats
+1.05
4.4
-0.17
+0.250
67.7
Scout percentile fallback
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Estimated Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
49.7
92.4
59.1 (18.4)
48.4 (25.6)
30.0 (23.9)
0.0 (4.3)
82.0 (14.2)
Excluded (7.6)
64.3 (6)
promise: International promise, cluster: International impact context
unassisted (7.6)
Manual international entry. This player is not scored by the current college-only SportsAnalytics model. Manual stat context is included in projected clustering when available. International promise is included as a separate non-BPM translation layer. International impact context is included as a supplemental translation layer. NBA official early-entry update · RealGM Sergio de Larrea profile · 3StepsBasket Sergio de Larrea shot profile
36
Rim-protecting center
Senior
Tier 5
2nd round
Scouting Lens
Tarris Reed Jr. is a 6-10 senior rim-protecting center from Connecticut, carrying +11.6 BPM, 26.5% usage, 61.4% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 35, 91.3% promise, 24.9% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.1 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 69.6% rim frequency with 68.9% finishing.
Frontcourt passing gives him more than a play-finisher lane with a 17.8% assist rate.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 8.4% block rate.
Steal/block blend (2.0% STL, 8.4% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive glass should travel: 24.5% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.7 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.3 FC/40).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (61.7%).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Because he creates events away from the rim (2.0% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (80.1% rim frequency, 63.4% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Tarris Reed Jr. enters this board at No. 36 as a 6-10 senior rim-protecting center at Connecticut. The data case starts with +11.6 BPM, 26.5% usage, 61.4% TS, 91.3% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 35.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 8.4% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.1 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 69.6% rim frequency with 68.9% finishing. The shot profile adds 61.4% on twos, 69.6% rim frequency, 68.9% at the rim, 0.3 3PA/100, 4.1 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.7 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 24.9% cluster NBA-hit rate, 1.8% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.3 FC/40); Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill. Local-note context: 26 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steals, 3 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
26 points, 10 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steals, 3 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Daniel Ochefu, Colin Castleton, Julian Reese, N'Faly Dante
Player-centered hit rate
24.9% NBA hit rate (23/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Tarris Reed Jr.'s board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
59.4
26.5
61.4
60.7
0.0
4
+11.6
+3.8
4.3
137.7
+5.0
+0.06
91.3
+8.7
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
61.7
61.4
69.6
68.9
0.3
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.6
+5.4
2.0
8.4
24.5
4.3
-3.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
879
26.2
59.0
17.5
16.1
+5.6
-4.3
+8.7
+5.3
-3.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
59.6
0.0
63.4
73.1
44.3
37.0
0.0
0.0
3
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
24.9
1.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
23
3
0
0
0
Daniel Ochefu
Colin Castleton
Julian Reese
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
40
26
13
19.9
10
2
1
3
4
13
10-16
0-0
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.77s PASS
11.03s PASS
3.3s PASS
33 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
20
118-205
57.6
+0.52
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
47.6
100.0
91.3 (18.4)
32.7 (25.6)
15.3 (23.9)
0.0 (4.3)
100.0 (14.2)
38.5 (7.6)
27.5 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
37
Stretch frontcourt
Senior
Tier 5
2nd round
Scouting Lens
Trevon Brazile is a 6-10 senior stretch frontcourt from Arkansas, carrying +8.1 BPM, 17.2% usage, 65.3% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 27, 42.9% promise, 19.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 3.6 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 70.0% rim frequency with 81.2% finishing.
Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 5.2% block rate, 2.6% steal rate, and 2.5 FC/40.
Steal/block blend (2.6% STL, 5.2% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive glass should travel: 20.6% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.2 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Production foundation is strong: +8.1 BPM with -0.9 age-adjusted BPM.
Needs Work
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Trevon Brazile enters this board at No. 37 as a 6-10 senior stretch frontcourt at Arkansas. The data case starts with +8.1 BPM, 17.2% usage, 61.9% TS, 42.9% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 27.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 5.2% block rate, 2.6% steal rate, and 2.5 FC/40. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 3.6 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 70.0% rim frequency with 81.2% finishing. The shot profile adds 65.3% on twos, 70.0% rim frequency, 81.2% at the rim, 6.4 3PA/100, 3.6 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 19.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 7.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection; Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role. Local-note context: 25 points, 15 rebounds, 1 assists, 1 steals, 1 blocks and 3 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
25 points, 15 rebounds, 1 assists, 1 steals, 1 blocks and 3 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Keshad Johnson, Malevy Leons, Jake Layman, Kobe Brown
Player-centered hit rate
19.6% NBA hit rate (24/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Trevon Brazile's board case is that his frontcourt value comes from blending play-finishing with enough spacing skill to stay in modern lineups. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
36
75.6
17.2
61.9
59.5
34.1
132
+8.1
-0.9
3.7
126.9
-0.1
-0.22
42.9
+6.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
71.7
65.3
70.0
81.2
6.4
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.1
+3.3
2.6
5.2
20.6
2.5
-1.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
947
16.9
59.4
7.3
10.6
+4.1
-1.9
+6.2
+5.0
-1.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
65.8
0.0
76.8
46.6
46.3
16.0
33.9
100.0
112
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
19.6
7.4
0.7
0.0
0.0
24
9
1
0
0
Keshad Johnson
Malevy Leons
Jake Layman
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
53.2
25
12.5
18.3
15
1
1
1
3
17
10-22
2-7
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
2.71s PASS
10.84s PASS
3.14s PASS
41.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
24
78-121
64.5
+1.90
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
46.2
100.0
42.9 (18.4)
40.2 (25.6)
34.5 (23.9)
18.2 (4.3)
100.0 (14.2)
31.9 (7.6)
38.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. BartTorvik senior defensive/efficiency filter · NBA official Draft Combine participants
38
Wing forward
Senior
Tier 5
2nd round
Scouting Lens
Alex Karaban is a 6-8 senior wing forward from Connecticut, carrying +7.8 BPM, 17.6% usage, 55.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 31, PDF tag: 3&D second-side creators, 36.4% promise, 22.3% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.4% from three in the tracked split, 9.1 3PA/100, and 85.1% at the line.
Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 74.4% rim frequency with 62.8% finishing.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.6.
DBPM is comfortably positive for the role (+2.9).
Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM supports the stop-side case (-3.6; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +7.9 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for 3&D second-side creators.
Needs Work
Limited self-created shot volume in Hoop Explorer splits (1.9 unassisted makes per 100).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Alex Karaban enters this board at No. 38 as a 6-8 senior wing forward at Connecticut. The data case starts with +7.8 BPM, 17.6% usage, 59.0% TS, 36.4% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 31, PDF tags him for 3&D second-side creators.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.6. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.4% from three in the tracked split, 9.1 3PA/100, and 85.1% at the line; Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 74.4% rim frequency with 62.8% finishing. The shot profile adds 55.8% on twos, 74.4% rim frequency, 62.8% at the rim, 9.1 3PA/100, 1.9 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +7.9 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 22.3% cluster NBA-hit rate, 10.4% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Limited self-created shot volume in Hoop Explorer splits (1.9 unassisted makes per 100); Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Player-centered cluster comps
Tristan da Silva, Miles Norris, Jalen Bridges, Pat Connaughton
Player-centered hit rate
22.3% NBA hit rate (24/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 3.2% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.1% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Alex Karaban's board case is that his shooting volume and movement indicators give him a scalable wing role. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
40
85.1
17.6
59.0
55.9
37.4
206
+7.8
-1.5
4.4
129.3
-1.1
-0.13
36.4
+7.9
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
85.1
55.8
74.4
62.8
9.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.6
+2.9
1.5
2.8
11.8
2.4
-3.6
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1184
17.5
55.0
12.2
10.6
+4.2
-2.9
+7.9
+4.4
-3.6
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
53.9
0.0
59.3
67.2
42.6
52.2
37.4
93.8
171
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
22.3
10.4
3.2
1.1
0.0
24
11
4
1
0
Tristan da Silva
Miles Norris
Jalen Bridges
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.01s PASS
11.19s PASS
3.28s PASS
33 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
22
61-112
54.5
-0.10
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
45.0
100.0
36.4 (18.4)
56.1 (25.6)
22.0 (23.9)
9.1 (4.3)
100.0 (14.2)
12.2 (7.6)
52.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. BartTorvik senior defensive/efficiency filter · NBA official Draft Combine participants
39
Rim-protecting center
Senior
Tier 5
2nd round
Scouting Lens
Ugonna Onyenso is a 7-0 senior rim-protecting center from Virginia, carrying +11.3 BPM, 15.1% usage, 64.7% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 32, 96.2% promise, 21.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Play-finishing base is strong: 75.2% rim frequency with 69.0% finishing.
Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 17.4% block rate, 2.0% steal rate, and 2.7 FC/40.
Steal/block blend (2.0% STL, 17.4% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Box-score defense is strong with a +7.1 DBPM.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.7 RAPM).
Production foundation is strong: +11.3 BPM with +5.8 age-adjusted BPM.
Player-centered cluster is live: 21.5% NBA hit rate, 7.4% established rate, and 0.0% good-starter rate.
Needs Work
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Because he creates events away from the rim (2.0% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (75.6% rim frequency, 70.6% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Ugonna Onyenso enters this board at No. 39 as a 7-0 senior rim-protecting center at Virginia. The data case starts with +11.3 BPM, 15.1% usage, 61.6% TS, 96.2% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 32.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 17.4% block rate, 2.0% steal rate, and 2.7 FC/40. The strongest parts of the case are: Play-finishing base is strong: 75.2% rim frequency with 69.0% finishing; Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 17.4% block rate, 2.0% steal rate, and 2.7 FC/40. The shot profile adds 64.7% on twos, 75.2% rim frequency, 69.0% at the rim, 3.2 3PA/100, 2.2 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.7 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 21.5% cluster NBA-hit rate, 7.4% established rate, 2/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill; Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter. Local-note context: 4 points, 12 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 steals, 5 blocks and 1 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
4 points, 12 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 steals, 5 blocks and 1 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
D.J. Stephens, Tariq Owens, Kylor Kelley, Jay Huff
Player-centered hit rate
21.5% NBA hit rate (25/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Ugonna Onyenso's board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the promise model sees top-end translation and the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
36
45.7
15.1
61.6
59.8
27.8
36
+11.3
+5.8
2.2
126.4
+7.7
+0.01
96.2
+5.7
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
72.7
64.7
75.2
69.0
3.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.0
+7.1
2.0
17.4
19.3
2.7
-2.8
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
477
15.0
61.2
5.2
8.9
+4.0
-4.3
+5.7
+2.9
-2.8
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
64.4
0.0
70.6
79.2
45.5
30.0
31.8
100.0
22
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
21.5
7.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
25
8
0
0
0
D.J. Stephens
Tariq Owens
Kylor Kelley
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
48.9
4
2
10.7
12
2
2
5
1
23
2-4
0-0
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
3.16s PASS
11.56s miss
3.25s PASS
32 miss
2/4
Shuttle, 3/4 sprint
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
22-40
43.3
100.0
96.2 (18.4)
39.9 (25.6)
20.3 (23.9)
9.1 (4.3)
50.0 (14.2)
23.2 (7.6)
21.4 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
40
Combo guard
Senior
Tier 5
2nd round
Scouting Lens
Ryan Conwell is a 6-3 senior combo guard from Louisville, carrying +5.9 BPM, 27.5% usage, 53.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 26, PDF tag: High-volume 3P creators with defense, 38.8% promise, 13.3% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 17.4 3PA/100 with a 83.2% free-throw marker.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.0% STL).
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 14.4% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.0.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.5 RAPM).
PDF-note bucket also flags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.6 FC/40).
Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (33.0% in the tracked split).
He gets downhill often, but the finishing has to withstand NBA size (59.0% at the rim).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Ryan Conwell enters this board at No. 40 as a 6-3 senior combo guard at Louisville. The data case starts with +5.9 BPM, 27.5% usage, 56.6% TS, 38.8% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 26, PDF tags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.0% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 17.4 3PA/100 with a 83.2% free-throw marker; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 53.0% on twos, 72.6% rim frequency, 59.0% at the rim, 17.4 3PA/100, 5.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.5 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 13.3% cluster NBA-hit rate, 7.1% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.6 FC/40); Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (33.0% in the tracked split). Local-note context: 29 points, 7 rebounds, 9 assists, 2 steals, 1 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
29 points, 7 rebounds, 9 assists, 2 steals, 1 blocks and 4 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Myles Powell, Caleb Love, Sean Pedulla, Jonathan Gibson
Player-centered hit rate
13.3% NBA hit rate (17/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Ryan Conwell's board case is that his shooting volume gives him a clean off-ball pathway even if NBA touches come down. He belongs in this range because the combine barometers back the athletic translation and the three-point volume creates an immediate spacing pathway; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
34
75.0
27.5
56.6
52.1
34.5
325
+5.9
-0.2
4.0
129.4
-0.2
-0.27
38.8
+5.5
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
83.2
53.0
72.6
59.0
17.4
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.0
+1.5
2.0
0.6
14.4
3.6
-0.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
845
28.9
50.5
16.2
14.0
+3.9
-1.5
+5.5
+4.8
-0.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
52.4
0.0
57.3
33.9
40.0
6.2
33.0
69.4
258
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
13.3
7.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
17
10
0
0
0
Myles Powell
Caleb Love
Sean Pedulla
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
42.7
29
14.5
24.5
7
9
2
1
4
-4
6-16
6-11
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Nick Martinelli is a 6-7 senior wing forward from Northwestern, carrying +7.3 BPM, 29.4% usage, 53.3% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 58, 68.6% promise, 27.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.8.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.2 RAPM).
Positive box-score base with +7.3 BPM.
Efficient offensive burden: 29.4% usage with 60.2% true shooting.
Projectable season-long shooting signal: 41.7% from three on 108 attempts.
Player-centered cluster is live: 27.6% NBA hit rate, 9.7% established rate, and 1.9% good-starter rate.
Needs Work
DBPM does not yet support a defensive-specialist projection (+0.1).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Nick Martinelli enters this board at No. 41 as a 6-7 senior wing forward at Northwestern. The data case starts with +7.3 BPM, 29.4% usage, 60.2% TS, 68.6% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 58.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.8. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 4.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.8. The shot profile adds 53.3% on twos, 39.7% rim frequency, 62.6% at the rim, 5.7 3PA/100, 4.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 27.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 9.7% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: DBPM does not yet support a defensive-specialist projection (+0.1); Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection. Local-note context: 31 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steals, 1 blocks and 2 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
31 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steals, 1 blocks and 2 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Keion Brooks Jr., Luke Harangody, Yante Maten, Emanuel Miller
Player-centered hit rate
27.6% NBA hit rate (34/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 2.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.9% good-starter rate, and 0.7% star rate.
Board thesis
Nick Martinelli's board case is that his wing size and secondary-skill mix can fit NBA lineups if one bankable offensive skill separates. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
33
86.1
29.4
60.2
55.2
41.7
108
+7.3
+1.0
6.0
141.2
+1.6
-0.07
68.6
+5.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
80.9
53.3
39.7
62.6
5.7
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.8
+0.1
1.4
1.2
13.5
2.6
+1.0
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
849
29.6
51.6
12.7
7.8
+6.7
+0.1
+5.2
+6.3
+1.0
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
50.2
0.0
60.0
60.6
44.4
57.1
38.4
89.3
73
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
27.6
9.7
2.7
1.9
0.7
34
14
4
3
1
Keion Brooks Jr.
Luke Harangody
Yante Maten
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
45.4
31
15.5
24.3
8
2
1
1
2
-8
13-22
0-1
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Braden Smith is a 6-0 senior point guard from Purdue, carrying +8.8 BPM, 26.5% usage, 49.1% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 46, 34.5% player-centered NBA hit rate, low rim frequency (29.9% of 2PA).
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 8.1 3PA/100 with a 82.5% free-throw marker.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.0% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.3.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.3; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.4 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +8.8 BPM.
Needs Work
Low rim frequency in the collected shot data (29.9% of two-point attempts).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (49.1%).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (22.5% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Braden Smith enters this board at No. 42 as a 6-0 senior point guard at Purdue. The data case starts with +8.8 BPM, 26.5% usage, 55.1% TS, +8.4 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 46.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.0% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 8.1 3PA/100 with a 82.5% free-throw marker; Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 49.1% on twos, 29.9% rim frequency, 60.5% at the rim, 8.1 3PA/100, 6.3 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.4 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 34.5% cluster NBA-hit rate, 13.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Low rim frequency in the collected shot data (29.9% of two-point attempts); Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (49.1%). Local-note context: Late-board blend: 61.6 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 8.7955 across 39 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
56.4% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Isaiah Stevens, Ryan Nembhard, Daniss Jenkins, Adam Flagler
Player-centered hit rate
34.5% NBA hit rate (36/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.4% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.7% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 61.6 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 8.7955 across 39 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Braden Smith's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Purdue
6-0
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
82.5
49.1
29.9
60.5
8.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.3
+2.4
3.0
0.7
10.3
1.8
-1.3
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
1082
27.3
49.9
41.6
22.5
+6.4
-2.0
+8.4
+7.1
-1.3
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
47.1
0.0
61.3
21.1
41.2
9.8
35.9
54.9
142
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
34.5
13.5
1.4
0.7
0.0
36
14
2
1
0
Isaiah Stevens
Ryan Nembhard
Daniss Jenkins
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Dillon Mitchell is a 6-8 senior interior big from St. John's, carrying +8.2 BPM, 15.9% usage, 59.3% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 60, 12.3% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 80.5% rim frequency with 65.7% finishing.
Frontcourt passing gives him more than a play-finisher lane with a 18.8% assist rate.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
Box-score defense is strong with a +4.7 DBPM.
Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM supports the stop-side case (-3.1; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.7 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (2.6% BLK).
Shooting/touch indicators are below the comfort line: 49.4% FT, 0.8 3PA/100, and 37.5% tracked midrange accuracy.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (49.4%).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Because he creates events away from the rim (2.6% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (74.7% rim frequency, 63.4% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Dillon Mitchell enters this board at No. 43 as a 6-8 senior interior big at St. John's. The data case starts with +8.2 BPM, 15.9% usage, 55.5% TS, +6.7 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 60.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 80.5% rim frequency with 65.7% finishing. The shot profile adds 59.3% on twos, 80.5% rim frequency, 65.7% at the rim, 0.8 3PA/100, 3.4 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.7 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 12.3% cluster NBA-hit rate, 6.3% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (2.6% BLK); Shooting/touch indicators are below the comfort line: 49.4% FT, 0.8 3PA/100, and 37.5% tracked midrange accuracy. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 49.1 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 8.2056 across 37 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
63.8% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Oso Ighodaro, Anton Watson, Ben Moore, Julyan Stone
Player-centered hit rate
12.3% NBA hit rate (13/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.8% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 49.1 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 8.2056 across 37 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Dillon Mitchell's board case is that his size and frontcourt role can translate if the mobility and decision-making survive NBA spacing. He belongs in this range because the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
St. John's
6-8
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
49.4
59.3
80.5
65.7
0.8
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+4.7
2.6
2.6
18.0
2.6
-3.1
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
942
16.0
54.2
19.0
15.2
+3.0
-3.1
+6.7
+3.6
-3.1
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
56.8
0.0
63.4
55.6
37.5
27.8
8.3
100.0
12
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
12.3
6.3
0.8
0.8
0.0
13
7
1
1
0
Oso Ighodaro
Anton Watson
Ben Moore
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Tamin Lipsey is a 6-1 senior scoring guard from Iowa St., carrying +9.9 BPM, 22.9% usage, 54.1% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 55, 71.9% promise, 25.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Scoring guard
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round
Path
Senior
Team
Iowa St.
Position
Guard
Final blend move: +3Late-board score: 66.1NBA G League CombineSenior draft eligibleAgility barometers: 4/4Barometer move: +3Top-75 2P move: -1WATCH LISTSeniorDraft range: 2nd round6-1Iowa St.Promise: 71.9%Model rank: 118
Strengths
Creates real guard rim pressure: 56.7% rim frequency with 62.1% finishing.
On-ball creation is not just scoring; 28.0% assist rate with manageable turnover pressure gives him passing equity.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 4.2% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.9.
Box-score defense is strong with a +5.2 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.5 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Production foundation is strong: +9.9 BPM with +1.9 age-adjusted BPM.
Needs Work
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (65.6%).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Tamin Lipsey enters this board at No. 44 as a 6-1 senior scoring guard at Iowa St.. The data case starts with +9.9 BPM, 22.9% usage, 54.0% TS, 71.9% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 55.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 4.2% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Creates real guard rim pressure: 56.7% rim frequency with 62.1% finishing; On-ball creation is not just scoring; 28.0% assist rate with manageable turnover pressure gives him passing equity. The shot profile adds 54.1% on twos, 56.7% rim frequency, 62.1% at the rim, 7.2 3PA/100, 4.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.5 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 25.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 11.0% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill; Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (65.6%). Local-note context: Late-board blend: 66.1 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 9.8847 across 34 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 66.1 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 9.8847 across 34 games.
Player-centered cluster comps
T.J. McConnell, Jordan McLaughlin, JaQuori McLaughlin, Max Shulga
Player-centered hit rate
25.7% NBA hit rate (31/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Tamin Lipsey's board case is that his passing feel and guard organization can survive a lower-usage NBA role. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
34
72.2
22.9
54.0
51.6
31.6
133
+9.9
+1.9
4.3
131.8
+1.8
-0.03
71.9
+6.5
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
65.6
54.1
56.7
62.1
7.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.9
+5.2
4.2
0.1
9.8
2.4
-2.8
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
877
23.8
51.0
28.6
13.8
+4.7
-3.6
+6.5
+3.8
-2.8
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
52.1
0.0
60.2
48.4
42.4
13.9
32.7
78.4
113
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
25.7
11.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
31
13
0
0
0
T.J. McConnell
Jordan McLaughlin
JaQuori McLaughlin
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
2.689s (left) PASS
10.22s PASS
3.19s PASS
35.5 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
19
70-135
51.9
-0.62
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
41-60
43.6
99.9
71.9 (18.6)
50.2 (22.6)
1.1 (14.2)
0.0 (9.3)
100.0 (17.9)
23.5 (11.3)
49.7 (6)
Senior primary-handler residual discount: -4.8
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. NBA G League official combine participants · Hoops Rumors G League Combine senior class list
45
Rim-protecting center
Senior
WATCH LIST
2nd round
Scouting Lens
Izaiyah Nelson is a 6-10 senior rim-protecting center from South Florida, carrying +8.6 BPM, 23.7% usage, 62.5% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 57, 15.2% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.1 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 86.9% rim frequency with 65.8% finishing.
Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 5.9% block rate.
Steal/block blend (3.3% STL, 5.9% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive glass should travel: 21.0% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.9 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +8.6 BPM.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.6 FC/40).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Because he creates events away from the rim (3.3% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (80.6% rim frequency, 61.6% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Izaiyah Nelson enters this board at No. 45 as a 6-10 senior rim-protecting center at South Florida. The data case starts with +8.6 BPM, 23.7% usage, 60.9% TS, +8.9 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 57.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Frontcourt defensive playmaking is a real hook with a 5.9% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 4.1 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Play-finishing base is strong: 86.9% rim frequency with 65.8% finishing. The shot profile adds 62.5% on twos, 86.9% rim frequency, 65.8% at the rim, 2.8 3PA/100, 4.1 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.9 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 15.2% cluster NBA-hit rate, 2.2% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.6 FC/40); Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 52.9 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 8.5752 across 33 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
15.2% NBA hit rate (18/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 52.9 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 8.5752 across 33 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Izaiyah Nelson's board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
South Florida
6-10
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
72.6
62.5
86.9
65.8
2.8
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.8
+2.8
3.3
5.9
21.0
4.6
-4.3
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
Medium
481
22.8
56.8
5.6
14.0
+4.8
-3.5
+8.9
+4.6
-4.3
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
Medium
61.9
0.0
61.6
71.0
63.0
5.9
17.4
100.0
23
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
15.2
2.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
18
3
0
0
0
Juwan Morgan
N'Faly Dante
Josh Oduro
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Maliq Brown is a 6-9 senior wing forward from Duke, carrying +10.1 BPM, 14.5% usage, 76.5% on twos. The scouting lens blends 88.3% promise, 6.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 17.3% defensive rebounding.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.8.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+4.3 RAPM).
Production foundation is strong: +10.1 BPM with +2.8 age-adjusted BPM.
Cleared all four combine agility barometers.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (5.4 FC/40).
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (50.0%).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (29.2% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Limited self-created shot volume in Hoop Explorer splits (1.6 unassisted makes per 100).
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Scouting Write-Up
Maliq Brown enters this board at No. 46 as a 6-9 senior wing forward at Duke. The data case starts with +10.1 BPM, 14.5% usage, 63.5% TS, 88.3% promise.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Wing defensive event profile pops: 5.3% steal rate and 3.9% block rate. The strongest parts of the case are: Gets forward-sized pressure on the rim: 100.0% rim frequency with 76.5% finishing; Wing defensive event profile pops: 5.3% steal rate and 3.9% block rate. The shot profile adds 76.5% on twos, 100.0% rim frequency, 76.5% at the rim, 2.3 3PA/100, 1.6 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +4.3 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 6.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 1.5% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (5.4 FC/40); Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill. Local-note context: 20 points, 11 rebounds, 0 assists, 1 steals, 2 blocks and 3 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
20 points, 11 rebounds, 0 assists, 1 steals, 2 blocks and 3 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Anton Watson, Arinze Onuaku, Jericho Sims, Javin DeLaurier
Player-centered hit rate
6.6% NBA hit rate (8/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Maliq Brown's board case is that his size, rim pressure, and finishing give him a useful connector-forward base. He belongs in this range because the promise model keeps him in the serious prospect pool and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
38
50.6
14.5
63.5
64.8
16.7
30
+10.1
+2.8
1.7
117.2
+2.9
+0.31
88.3
+4.3
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
50.0
76.5
100.0
76.5
2.3
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.8
+8.1
5.3
3.9
17.3
5.4
-3.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
598
14.7
59.6
13.8
29.2
+1.3
-5.6
+4.3
+1.1
-3.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
70.4
0.0
70.3
80.0
71.4
0.0
17.4
75.0
23
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
6.6
1.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
8
2
0
0
0
Anton Watson
Arinze Onuaku
Jericho Sims
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
43
20
10
20.7
11
0
1
2
3
9
8-8
1-1
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Richie Saunders is a 6-5 senior wing guard from BYU, carrying +9.0 BPM, 23.8% usage, 63.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 39, PDF tag: High-volume 3P creators with defense, 28.3% promise, 18.1% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 12.3 3PA/100 with a 81.7% free-throw marker.
Creates real guard rim pressure: 72.6% rim frequency with 69.4% finishing.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.1% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 13.5% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.7.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.2 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense.
Needs Work
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Richie Saunders enters this board at No. 47 as a 6-5 senior wing guard at BYU. The data case starts with +9.0 BPM, 23.8% usage, 63.2% TS, 28.3% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 39, PDF tags him for High-volume 3P creators with defense.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.1% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Shooting volume and touch give the jumper a real pathway: 12.3 3PA/100 with a 81.7% free-throw marker; Creates real guard rim pressure: 72.6% rim frequency with 69.4% finishing. The shot profile adds 63.0% on twos, 72.6% rim frequency, 69.4% at the rim, 12.3 3PA/100, 4.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 18.1% cluster NBA-hit rate, 9.2% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection; Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
18.1% NBA hit rate (20/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.7% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Richie Saunders' board case is that his shooting volume and movement indicators give him a scalable wing role. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the three-point volume creates an immediate spacing pathway; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
25
55.8
23.8
63.2
59.3
37.6
170
+9.0
-2.6
5.2
140.8
-2.1
-0.07
28.3
+6.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
81.7
63.0
72.6
69.4
12.3
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.7
+1.8
3.1
1.0
13.5
2.8
-0.8
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
608
22.8
56.8
10.9
12.7
+6.6
-1.1
+6.2
+5.3
-0.8
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
62.6
0.0
66.7
30.4
53.3
18.8
34.9
88.9
129
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
18.1
9.2
1.7
1.7
0.0
20
10
2
2
0
Alijah Martin
Kobe Brown
J.P. Macura
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
2 SD Range
Passed
Estimated agility proxy (injury excused)
92% est. pass, 81%-100%
70% est. pass, 52%-88%
91% est. pass, 80%-100%
91% est. pass, 81%-100%
3.4/4 est.
2.9-3.9/4
Estimated from proxy
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
13
46-76
60.5
+1.10
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Estimated Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
41-60
39.9
99.9
28.3 (18.6)
51.8 (22.6)
4.8 (14.2)
7.7 (9.3)
86.0 (17.9)
29.0 (11.3)
46.2 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
48
Combo guard
Senior
WATCH LIST
2nd round / two-way range
Scouting Lens
Kylan Boswell is a 6-2 senior combo guard from Illinois, carrying +5.8 BPM, 20.6% usage, 54.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends 15.8% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Creates real guard rim pressure: 69.6% rim frequency with 62.5% finishing.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.6.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.7; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.5 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Player-centered cluster is live: 15.8% NBA hit rate, 7.0% established rate, and 0.0% good-starter rate.
Cleared all four combine agility barometers.
Needs Work
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Kylan Boswell enters this board at No. 48 as a 6-2 senior combo guard at Illinois. The data case starts with +5.8 BPM, 20.6% usage, 55.9% TS, +6.5 top-100 RAPM.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.6. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Creates real guard rim pressure: 69.6% rim frequency with 62.5% finishing. The shot profile adds 54.0% on twos, 69.6% rim frequency, 62.5% at the rim, 7.8 3PA/100, 5.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.5 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 15.8% cluster NBA-hit rate, 7.0% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill; Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 23.4 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 5.8214 across 30 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
57.0% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Marcus Paige, Yogi Ferrell, Terance Mann, Alijah Martin
Player-centered hit rate
15.8% NBA hit rate (21/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 23.4 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 5.8214 across 30 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Kylan Boswell's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Illinois
6-2
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
78.1
54.0
69.6
62.5
7.8
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.6
+2.4
1.5
0.0
9.3
2.8
-1.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
658
21.8
49.0
17.6
11.2
+6.4
-1.7
+6.5
+4.8
-1.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
52.8
0.0
60.3
34.1
42.0
14.3
28.6
36.4
77
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
15.8
7.0
1.7
0.0
0.0
21
9
2
0
0
Marcus Paige
Yogi Ferrell
Terance Mann
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Tre Donaldson is a 6-3 senior scoring guard from Miami FL, carrying +6.2 BPM, 24.4% usage, 50.9% on twos. The scouting lens blends 27.6% promise, 21.0% player-centered NBA hit rate, 8.0 3PA per 100 possessions.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Scoring guard
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
Miami FL
Position
Guard
Final blend move: +2Late-board score: 28.9NBA G League CombineSenior draft eligibleAgility barometers: 4/4Barometer move: +3Top-75 2P holdWATCH LISTSeniorDraft range: 2nd round / two-way range6-3Miami FLPromise: 27.6%Model rank: 279
Strengths
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.3% STL).
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.9.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.7; lower is better).
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.5 RAPM).
Positive box-score base with +6.2 BPM.
Projectable season-long shooting signal: 35.9% from three on 167 attempts.
Needs Work
Primary-guard possessions need cleaner endings (16.4% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Tre Donaldson enters this board at No. 49 as a 6-3 senior scoring guard at Miami FL. The data case starts with +6.2 BPM, 24.4% usage, 55.3% TS, 27.6% promise.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.3% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.3% STL). The shot profile adds 50.9% on twos, 50.2% rim frequency, 58.9% at the rim, 8.0 3PA/100, 6.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.5 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 21.0% cluster NBA-hit rate, 8.8% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Primary-guard possessions need cleaner endings (16.4% Hoop Explorer turnover rate); Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 28.9 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.2049 across 35 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 28.9 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.2049 across 35 games.
21.0% NBA hit rate (26/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.7% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.7% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Tre Donaldson's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
85.1
24.4
55.3
52.0
35.9
167
+6.2
-0.9
4.3
129.1
-0.9
-0.33
27.6
+5.5
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
76.6
50.9
50.2
58.9
8.0
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.9
+1.6
2.3
0.7
10.4
2.0
-1.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
823
24.7
49.7
24.7
16.4
+3.0
-1.3
+5.5
+3.7
-1.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
47.0
0.0
55.9
23.1
39.5
11.6
36.3
73.2
113
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
21.0
8.8
0.7
0.7
0.0
26
11
1
1
0
Collin Gillespie
Sherron Collins
JaQuori McLaughlin
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
2.637s (right) PASS
10.44s PASS
3.08s PASS
39 Pass
4/4
Shuttle, Lane agility, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
41-60
38.5
99.9
27.6 (18.6)
47.6 (22.6)
0.0 (14.2)
0.0 (9.3)
100.0 (17.9)
32.6 (11.3)
60.6 (6)
Senior primary-handler residual discount: -2.6
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose.
50
Rim-protecting center
Senior
WATCH LIST
2nd round / two-way range
Scouting Lens
Rafael Castro is a 6-11 senior rim-protecting center from George Washington, carrying +8.9 BPM, 24.7% usage, 62.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF tag: Big playmaking defender/finisher, 75.2% promise, 15.4% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Rim-protecting center
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
George Washington
Position
Center
Final blend move: -14Combine scrimmage: 12 pts / 6.0 PPGNBA G League Combine / NBA Draft CombineSenior draft eligibleAgility barometers: 3/4Barometer move: -1Top-75 2P holdWATCH LISTSeniorDraft range: 2nd round / two-way range6-11George WashingtonPromise: 75.2%Model rank: 108
Strengths
Play-finishing base is strong: 86.4% rim frequency with 64.6% finishing.
Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 7.9% block rate, 3.5% steal rate, and 2.7 FC/40.
Steal/block blend (3.5% STL, 7.9% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
Defensive glass should travel: 26.3% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
PDF-note bucket also flags him for Big playmaking defender/finisher.
Production foundation is strong: +8.9 BPM with +0.4 age-adjusted BPM.
Efficient offensive burden: 24.7% usage with 64.7% true shooting.
Needs Work
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (66.1%).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (25.8% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Production translation should be checked carefully against high-major length and athleticism.
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Because he creates events away from the rim (3.5% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (81.2% rim frequency, 60.0% rim FG).
Scouting Write-Up
Rafael Castro enters this board at No. 50 as a 6-11 senior rim-protecting center at George Washington. The data case starts with +8.9 BPM, 24.7% usage, 64.7% TS, 75.2% promise. The local notes add PDF tags him for Big playmaking defender/finisher.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 7.9% block rate, 3.5% steal rate, and 2.7 FC/40. The strongest parts of the case are: Play-finishing base is strong: 86.4% rim frequency with 64.6% finishing; Rim protection comes with enough activity to play above pure-drop usage: 7.9% block rate, 3.5% steal rate, and 2.7 FC/40. The shot profile adds 62.8% on twos, 86.4% rim frequency, 64.6% at the rim, 0.0 3PA/100, 2.9 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds -0.0 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 15.4% cluster NBA-hit rate, 2.5% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill; Free-throw marker is below the comfort line (66.1%). Local-note context: 12 points, 12 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steals, 0 blocks and 3 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
12 points, 12 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steals, 0 blocks and 3 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
N'Faly Dante, Jesse Edwards, Daniel Ochefu, Tolu Smith
Player-centered hit rate
15.4% NBA hit rate (17/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.6% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Rafael Castro's board case is that his rim protection and finishing create a clear NBA role before the offense has to be featured. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
28
56.8
24.7
64.7
62.8
0.0
0
+8.9
+0.4
3.7
131.2
+2.0
+0.01
75.2
-0.0
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
66.1
62.8
86.4
64.6
0.0
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.6
+3.4
3.5
7.9
26.3
2.7
-0.8
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
Medium
294
23.1
57.5
9.9
25.8
+0.2
-2.3
-0.0
-0.8
-0.8
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
Medium
57.5
0.0
60.0
79.5
46.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
15.4
2.5
0.6
0.6
0.0
17
4
1
1
0
N'Faly Dante
Jesse Edwards
Daniel Ochefu
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
40.2
12
6
11.3
12
2
1
0
3
-21
3-7
0-0
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
2.932s (left) PASS
11.42s miss
3.2s PASS
36.5 Pass
3/4
Shuttle, 3/4 sprint, Max vertical
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
41-60
38.5
99.9
75.2 (18.6)
29.3 (22.6)
0.0 (14.2)
0.0 (9.3)
75.0 (17.9)
25.7 (11.3)
24.9 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. NBA G League official combine participants · Hoops Rumors G League Combine senior class list
51
Stretch frontcourt
Senior
WATCH LIST
2nd round / two-way range
Scouting Lens
Tyler Bilodeau is a 6-9 senior stretch frontcourt from UCLA, carrying +7.9 BPM, 23.7% usage, 55.3% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 53, 18.8% player-centered NBA hit rate, low rim frequency (31.2% of 2PA).
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 47.6% from three in the tracked split, 9.0 3PA/100, and 87.3% at the line.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.0 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +7.9 BPM.
Projectable season-long shooting signal: 46.4% from three on 138 attempts.
Player-centered cluster is live: 18.8% NBA hit rate, 7.9% established rate, and 1.0% good-starter rate.
Wing/forward size gives the profile multiple lineup pathways.
Connector-forward context gives him ways to add value without needing every touch.
Needs Work
Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (1.5% BLK).
Low rim frequency in the collected shot data (31.2% of two-point attempts).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Tyler Bilodeau enters this board at No. 51 as a 6-9 senior stretch frontcourt at UCLA. The data case starts with +7.9 BPM, 23.7% usage, 65.6% TS, +8.0 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 53.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (1.5% BLK). The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 47.6% from three in the tracked split, 9.0 3PA/100, and 87.3% at the line; Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.0 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM. The shot profile adds 55.3% on twos, 31.2% rim frequency, 67.2% at the rim, 9.0 3PA/100, 2.3 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.0 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 18.8% cluster NBA-hit rate, 7.9% established rate, 2/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Rim-protection event rate is lighter than ideal for a frontcourt role (1.5% BLK); Low rim frequency in the collected shot data (31.2% of two-point attempts). Local-note context: Late-board blend: 43.6 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 7.8912 across 31 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
69.4% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Tristan da Silva, Cameron Johnson, Keion Brooks Jr., Jamison Battle
Player-centered hit rate
18.8% NBA hit rate (25/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 1.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 43.6 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 7.8912 across 31 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Tyler Bilodeau's board case is that his frontcourt value comes from blending play-finishing with enough spacing skill to stay in modern lineups. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
Quadir Copeland is a 6-6 senior point guard from N.C. State, carrying +6.3 BPM, 28.1% usage, 51.6% on twos. The scouting lens blends 38.5% promise, 20.6% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Point guard
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
N.C. State
Position
Guard
Final blend move: +1Late-board score: 26.6NBA G League CombineSenior draft eligibleAgility barometers: 4/4Barometer move: +3Top-75 2P holdWATCH LISTSeniorDraft range: 2nd round / two-way range6-6N.C. StatePromise: 38.5%Model rank: 235
Strengths
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 7.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (3.6% STL).
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.3.
Top-100 defensive RAPM is positive context for the role (-1.2; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.3 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +6.3 BPM.
Efficient offensive burden: 28.1% usage with 59.2% true shooting.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.2 FC/40).
Perimeter volume is light for a non-big prospect at 3.4 3PA/100.
Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (56.6%).
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (34.0% on tracked midrange twos).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (21.6% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Scouting Write-Up
Quadir Copeland enters this board at No. 52 as a 6-6 senior point guard at N.C. State. The data case starts with +6.3 BPM, 28.1% usage, 59.2% TS, 38.5% promise.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (3.6% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 7.3 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (3.6% STL). The shot profile adds 51.6% on twos, 80.1% rim frequency, 56.6% at the rim, 3.4 3PA/100, 7.3 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.3 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 20.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 5.9% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (4.2 FC/40); Perimeter volume is light for a non-big prospect at 3.4 3PA/100. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 26.6 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.3226 across 34 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 26.6 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.3226 across 34 games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Jeremy Lin, Tyler Kolek, Malachi Smith, Bez Mbeng
Player-centered hit rate
20.6% NBA hit rate (26/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.2% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Quadir Copeland's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
34
71.3
28.1
59.2
53.0
39.7
58
+6.3
-1.3
4.0
133.1
-0.9
-0.12
38.5
+6.3
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
77.5
51.6
80.1
56.6
3.4
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.3
+2.6
3.6
0.6
11.9
4.2
-1.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
792
28.6
50.6
40.0
21.6
+5.2
-1.3
+6.3
+5.1
-1.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
50.7
0.0
55.4
15.0
34.0
0.0
33.3
69.2
39
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
20.6
5.9
1.2
0.0
0.0
26
7
1
0
0
Jeremy Lin
Tyler Kolek
Malachi Smith
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
Xaivian Lee is a 6-3 senior combo guard from Florida, carrying +6.9 BPM, 20.5% usage, 59.4% on twos. The scouting lens blends 52.1% promise, 12.7% player-centered NBA hit rate, 11.2 3PA per 100 possessions.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Combo guard
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
Florida
Position
Guard
Final blend move: +1Late-board score: 35.0NBA G League CombineSenior draft eligibleAgility barometers: 4/4Barometer move: +3Top-75 2P holdWATCH LISTSeniorDraft range: 2nd round / two-way range6-3FloridaPromise: 52.1%Model rank: 183
Strengths
Creates real guard rim pressure: 77.6% rim frequency with 65.8% finishing.
Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.4% STL).
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 12.2% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 4.0.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.2 RAPM).
Positive box-score base with +6.9 BPM.
Real perimeter volume at 11.2 3PA per 100 possessions.
Needs Work
Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill.
Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (28.7% in the tracked split).
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (35.7% on tracked midrange twos).
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (18.3% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Scouting Write-Up
Xaivian Lee enters this board at No. 53 as a 6-3 senior combo guard at Florida. The data case starts with +6.9 BPM, 20.5% usage, 53.6% TS, 52.1% promise.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.4% STL). The strongest parts of the case are: Creates real guard rim pressure: 77.6% rim frequency with 65.8% finishing; Has enough hands and anticipation to make defensive plays at the guard spot (2.4% STL). The shot profile adds 59.4% on twos, 77.6% rim frequency, 65.8% at the rim, 11.2 3PA/100, 4.2 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.2 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 12.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 5.0% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Shooting volume or accuracy needs more proof before it becomes a bankable NBA spacing skill; Three-point volume is real, but accuracy still has to catch up (28.7% in the tracked split). Local-note context: Late-board blend: 35.0 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.9101 across 35 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 35.0 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.9101 across 35 games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Alijah Martin, Sean Pedulla, Marcus Paige, Caleb Love
Player-centered hit rate
12.7% NBA hit rate (16/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.3% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.7% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Xaivian Lee's board case is that his shooting volume gives him a clean off-ball pathway even if NBA touches come down. He belongs in this range because the combine barometers back the athletic translation and the three-point volume creates an immediate spacing pathway; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
35
68.5
20.5
53.6
50.4
29.2
195
+6.9
+0.3
3.0
123.8
+0.2
-0.12
52.1
+5.2
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
76.5
59.4
77.6
65.8
11.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.0
+3.8
2.4
0.4
12.2
2.7
-3.6
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
790
21.6
48.4
26.2
18.3
+2.3
-3.4
+5.2
+1.6
-3.6
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
55.6
0.0
62.1
35.2
35.7
10.0
28.7
67.4
160
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
12.7
5.0
1.3
0.7
0.0
16
7
2
1
0
Alijah Martin
Sean Pedulla
Marcus Paige
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
Keyshawn Hall is a 6-7 senior wing forward from Auburn, carrying +6.3 BPM, 26.5% usage, 49.5% on twos. The scouting lens blends 13.6% player-centered NBA hit rate, 8.1 3PA per 100 possessions.
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.0% from three in the tracked split, 8.1 3PA/100, and 85.7% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 5.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 18.9% defensive rebounding.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.4.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +7.6 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +6.3 BPM.
Efficient offensive burden: 26.5% usage with 60.6% true shooting.
Needs Work
DBPM does not yet support a defensive-specialist projection (+0.2).
Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (53.5%).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (49.5%).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Defensive assignment range and catch-and-shoot consistency will define the early role.
Needs enough on-ball juice to avoid becoming a low-usage spot player.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Keyshawn Hall enters this board at No. 54 as a 6-7 senior wing forward at Auburn. The data case starts with +6.3 BPM, 26.5% usage, 60.6% TS, +7.6 top-100 RAPM.
The NBA pathway is a scalable wing role where the shooting, defense, and secondary creation do not all have to carry the same night. Defensively, Adds real possession value on the wing glass at 18.9% defensive rebounding. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.0% from three in the tracked split, 8.1 3PA/100, and 85.7% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: useful secondary creation for a wing at 5.7 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 49.5% on twos, 72.9% rim frequency, 53.5% at the rim, 8.1 3PA/100, 5.7 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +7.6 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 13.6% cluster NBA-hit rate, 5.8% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: DBPM does not yet support a defensive-specialist projection (+0.2); Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (53.5%). Local-note context: Late-board blend: 24.2 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.3331 across 36 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
27.6% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Tyler Cavanaugh, John Tonje, Terrence Shannon Jr., Tristan Thompson
Player-centered hit rate
13.6% NBA hit rate (17/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 24.2 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.3331 across 36 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Keyshawn Hall's board case is that his shooting volume and movement indicators give him a scalable wing role. He belongs in this range because the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Auburn
6-7
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
85.7
49.5
72.9
53.5
8.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.4
+0.2
1.2
2.2
18.9
2.8
-0.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
980
26.9
50.9
13.2
16.2
+6.3
-0.5
+7.6
+6.9
-0.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
48.3
0.0
52.2
38.1
39.4
10.7
37.0
66.0
135
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
13.6
5.8
0.6
0.0
0.0
17
8
1
0
0
Tyler Cavanaugh
John Tonje
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Jaden Bradley is a 6-3 senior scoring guard from Arizona, carrying +7.5 BPM, 21.1% usage, 47.8% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 59, 17.2% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.0 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.6% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.5.
Box-score defense is strong with a +4.4 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.3 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +7.5 BPM.
Strong pedigree signal with a 95.2 recruiting rank marker.
Needs Work
Perimeter volume is light for a non-big prospect at 3.1 3PA/100.
Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (51.6%).
Two-point efficiency is a concern against the current sample (47.8%).
Primary-guard possessions need cleaner endings (15.1% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Scouting Write-Up
Jaden Bradley enters this board at No. 55 as a 6-3 senior scoring guard at Arizona. The data case starts with +7.5 BPM, 21.1% usage, 56.8% TS, +8.3 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 59.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.6% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 6.0 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Guard defensive activity is bankable: 2.6% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The shot profile adds 47.8% on twos, 41.2% rim frequency, 51.6% at the rim, 3.1 3PA/100, 6.0 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.3 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 17.2% cluster NBA-hit rate, 4.8% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Perimeter volume is light for a non-big prospect at 3.1 3PA/100; Rim finishing needs to be stronger for NBA translation (51.6%). Local-note context: Late-board blend: 42.2 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 7.5411 across 39 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
45.1% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Marcus Georges-Hunt, Jeff Dowtin, Kobe Sanders, Sherron Collins
Player-centered hit rate
17.2% NBA hit rate (22/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.6% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 42.2 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 7.5411 across 39 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Jaden Bradley's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Arizona
6-3
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
80.9
47.8
41.2
51.6
3.1
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.5
+4.4
2.6
0.3
9.5
2.6
-3.4
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
984
22.7
48.3
22.0
15.1
+4.6
-3.3
+8.3
+4.9
-3.4
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
47.7
0.0
49.5
27.5
46.6
13.3
34.0
94.4
53
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
17.2
4.8
0.6
0.0
0.0
22
6
1
0
0
Marcus Georges-Hunt
Jeff Dowtin
Kobe Sanders
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Malik Reneau is a 6-9 senior interior big from Miami FL, carrying +7.3 BPM, 30.1% usage, 58.0% on twos. The scouting lens blends 18.5% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Interior big
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
Miami FL
Position
PF/C
Final blend move: +1Late-board blend candidateAgility barometers: 3/4Barometer move: -1Top-75 2P holdLate-board score: 33.9NBA G League CombineWATCH LISTSenior6-9Miami FLSenior / automatically draft eligible
Strengths
Has enough shooting touch for a frontcourt spacing bet: 4.2 3PA/100 with 78.8% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: unusual self-created volume for a frontcourt player at 5.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Play-finishing base is strong: 75.1% rim frequency with 65.1% finishing.
Steal/block blend (2.1% STL, 3.3% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection.
DBPM is comfortably positive for the role (+1.9).
Hoop Explorer defensive RAPM supports the stop-side case (-2.7; lower is better).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +6.7 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (19.6% Hoop Explorer turnover rate).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Because he creates events away from the rim (2.1% STL), the defensive swing skill is staying sound without chasing steals.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (77.9% rim frequency, 58.5% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Malik Reneau enters this board at No. 56 as a 6-9 senior interior big at Miami FL. The data case starts with +7.3 BPM, 30.1% usage, 61.8% TS, +6.7 top-100 RAPM.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Steal/block blend (2.1% STL, 3.3% BLK) gives him hedge or switch-big possibilities beyond stationary rim protection. The strongest parts of the case are: Has enough shooting touch for a frontcourt spacing bet: 4.2 3PA/100 with 78.8% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: unusual self-created volume for a frontcourt player at 5.8 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 58.0% on twos, 75.1% rim frequency, 65.1% at the rim, 4.2 3PA/100, 5.8 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +6.7 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 18.5% cluster NBA-hit rate, 3.0% established rate, 3/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Decision speed and ball security need monitoring (19.6% Hoop Explorer turnover rate); Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 33.9 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 7.2792 across 35 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
47.4% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Josh Oduro, Eugene Omoruyi, Quinten Post, PJ Hall
Player-centered hit rate
18.5% NBA hit rate (23/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 33.9 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 7.2792 across 35 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Malik Reneau's board case is that his size and frontcourt role can translate if the mobility and decision-making survive NBA spacing. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Miami FL
6-9
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
78.8
58.0
75.1
65.1
4.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.7
+1.9
2.1
3.3
16.6
3.4
-2.7
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
706
29.8
53.6
12.7
19.6
+4.6
-2.1
+6.7
+4.1
-2.7
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
54.0
0.0
58.5
50.5
38.5
25.0
34.5
94.7
55
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
18.5
3.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
23
4
0
0
0
Josh Oduro
Eugene Omoruyi
Quinten Post
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
Otega Oweh is a 6-4 senior combo guard from Kentucky, carrying +5.9 BPM, 27.1% usage, 51.4% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 43, 20.4% promise, 17.7% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.9 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Creates real guard rim pressure: 61.1% rim frequency with 64.0% finishing.
Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.1% steal rate without an alarming foul profile.
Rebounds well for a guard, adding 12.9% defensive rebound rate to the possession game.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.2.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+5.7 RAPM).
Player-centered cluster is live: 17.7% NBA hit rate, 7.2% established rate, and 0.0% good-starter rate.
Needs Work
Middle-game efficiency needs polish (35.4% on tracked midrange twos).
Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Otega Oweh enters this board at No. 57 as a 6-4 senior combo guard at Kentucky. The data case starts with +5.9 BPM, 27.1% usage, 55.4% TS, 20.4% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 43.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, Guard defensive activity is bankable: 3.1% steal rate without an alarming foul profile. The strongest parts of the case are: Shot creation has a real role hook: real secondary creation volume at 5.9 unassisted makes per 100 possessions; Creates real guard rim pressure: 61.1% rim frequency with 64.0% finishing. The shot profile adds 51.4% on twos, 61.1% rim frequency, 64.0% at the rim, 6.5 3PA/100, 5.9 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +5.7 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 17.7% cluster NBA-hit rate, 7.2% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Middle-game efficiency needs polish (35.4% on tracked midrange twos); Older guard curve leaves less margin for a ball-dominant NBA projection. Local-note context: 41 points, 9 rebounds, 1 assists, 1 steals, 0 blocks and 2 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Combine scrimmage
41 points, 9 rebounds, 1 assists, 1 steals, 0 blocks and 2 turnovers across 2 combine scrimmage games.
Player-centered cluster comps
Norman Powell, Kevin McCullar Jr., Eugene Omoruyi, Micah Peavy
Player-centered hit rate
17.7% NBA hit rate (21/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.5% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Otega Oweh's board case is that his self-created offense gives him more than a caretaker-guard pathway. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
36
81.6
27.1
55.4
51.0
33.3
135
+5.9
-2.2
3.9
126.6
-2.0
-0.25
20.4
+5.7
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
73.1
51.4
61.1
64.0
6.5
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.2
+2.6
3.1
0.9
12.9
3.3
-2.1
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
976
28.2
48.9
15.6
12.2
+3.3
-1.9
+5.7
+3.6
-2.1
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
49.5
0.0
59.4
46.7
35.4
22.2
31.6
80.6
114
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
17.7
7.2
1.5
0.0
0.0
21
8
1
0
0
Norman Powell
Kevin McCullar Jr.
Eugene Omoruyi
NBA Combine Scrimmage Box Score
G
Min
PTS
PPG
GS
REB
AST
STL
BLK
TOV
+/-
FG
3P
2
45.4
41
20.5
29.6
9
1
1
0
2
-18
13-26
1-8
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Graham Ike is a 6-9 senior interior big from Gonzaga, carrying +9.4 BPM, 26.5% usage, 60.9% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 44, 57.8% promise, 31.2% player-centered NBA hit rate.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Interior big
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
Gonzaga
Position
Forward / Big
Final blend holdPDF note rank: 44NBA G League CombineSenior draft eligibleAgility barometers: 1/4Barometer move: -7Top-75 2P move: +1WATCH LISTSeniorDraft range: 2nd round / two-way range6-9GonzagaPromise: 57.8%Model rank: 162
Strengths
Has enough shooting touch for a frontcourt spacing bet: 4.2 3PA/100 with 79.7% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: unusual self-created volume for a frontcourt player at 5.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Two-point efficiency gives the role a sturdy base at 60.9%.
Defensive glass should travel: 20.2% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.9.
Box-score defense is strong with a +3.3 DBPM.
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +11.0 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Needs Work
Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.6 FC/40).
Combine athletic testing lagged the PDF barometers (1/4).
Production translation should be checked carefully against high-major length and athleticism.
Older prospect curve leaves less margin for purely tools-based projection.
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (46.7% rim frequency, 68.8% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Scouting Write-Up
Graham Ike enters this board at No. 58 as a 6-9 senior interior big at Gonzaga. The data case starts with +9.4 BPM, 26.5% usage, 62.7% TS, 57.8% promise. The local notes add PDF rank 44.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Defensive glass should travel: 20.2% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions. The strongest parts of the case are: Has enough shooting touch for a frontcourt spacing bet: 4.2 3PA/100 with 79.7% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: unusual self-created volume for a frontcourt player at 5.4 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 60.9% on twos, 49.1% rim frequency, 70.3% at the rim, 4.2 3PA/100, 5.4 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +11.0 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 31.2% cluster NBA-hit rate, 9.4% established rate, 1/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Foul rate can cap minutes if it stays high (3.6 FC/40); Combine athletic testing lagged the PDF barometers (1/4). The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
31.2% NBA hit rate (39/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.0% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Board thesis
Graham Ike's board case is that his efficient interior finishing gives him a stable role hook if the defensive coverage holds. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the finishing marker gives the role a high-efficiency base; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
All Opponents
GP
Min%
USG
TS%
eFG%
3P%
3PA
BPM
Age BPM
PORPAG
AdjOE
Scout
ML
Promise%
RAPM
31
68.9
26.5
62.7
59.1
33.8
71
+9.4
-0.4
4.9
138.0
+0.6
-0.09
57.8
+11.0
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
79.7
60.9
49.1
70.3
4.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.9
+3.3
1.4
3.3
20.2
3.6
-4.0
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
560
26.2
59.4
14.2
10.4
+7.3
-3.4
+11.0
+7.1
-4.0
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
59.3
0.0
68.8
67.2
50.9
48.1
40.0
83.3
45
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
31.2
9.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
39
12
0
0
0
Hunter Dickinson
Josh Oduro
Moses Wright
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
3.184s (right) PASS
11.61s miss
3.52s miss
31.5 miss
1/4
Shuttle
BartTorvik Top-75 2P%
GP
2P
2P%
Rank Adj
12
88-151
58.3
+0.66
Final Board Blend
Band
Score
Denom
Promise
Cluster
PDF Rank
PDF Tags
Agility
UnAst
Connector
Adjustments
Overrides
Excluded
41-60
35.6
99.9
57.8 (18.6)
51.6 (22.6)
3.6 (14.2)
0.0 (9.3)
25.0 (17.9)
45.6 (11.3)
50.8 (6)
Generated by the SportsAnalytics website pipeline. Ranker metrics come from `predictions/top60_prospects_2026_with_reasoning.csv`; Hoop Explorer fields are included when matched; cluster context is exact when available and otherwise projected from the closest historical cluster centroid. Human profile overrides, if present, win over generated prose. NBA G League official combine participants · Hoops Rumors G League Combine senior class list
59
Wing guard
Senior
WATCH LIST
2nd round / two-way range
Scouting Lens
Tyler Nickel is a 6-7 senior wing guard from Vanderbilt, carrying +6.6 BPM, 16.9% usage, 58.2% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 52, 15.1% player-centered NBA hit rate, 14.2 3PA per 100 possessions.
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.6% from three in the tracked split, 14.2 3PA/100, and 84.7% at the line.
D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.4.
Positive Hoop Explorer top-100 impact signal (+4.9 RAPM).
Positive box-score base with +6.6 BPM.
Projectable season-long shooting signal: 40.0% from three on 275 attempts.
Player-centered cluster is live: 15.1% NBA hit rate, 2.7% established rate, and 0.0% good-starter rate.
Cleared all four combine agility barometers.
Needs Work
Guard defensive activity has to rise; 1.4% steal rate leaves little margin if he is targeted on the ball.
Most tracked threes are assisted, so the pull-up shooting claim still needs cleaner evidence.
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Needs to prove the creation scales when NBA defenders shrink driving windows.
Off-ball value matters if primary-handler touches are reduced.
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Tyler Nickel enters this board at No. 59 as a 6-7 senior wing guard at Vanderbilt. The data case starts with +6.6 BPM, 16.9% usage, 61.7% TS, +4.9 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 52.
The offensive bet is that his handle, shooting, and pressure package can survive a smaller NBA touch diet. Defensively, D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.4. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.6% from three in the tracked split, 14.2 3PA/100, and 84.7% at the line; D-PRPG gives the defense a positive statistical base at 3.4. The shot profile adds 58.2% on twos, 39.6% rim frequency, 75.0% at the rim, 14.2 3PA/100, 2.2 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +4.9 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 15.1% cluster NBA-hit rate, 2.7% established rate, 4/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Guard defensive activity has to rise; 1.4% steal rate leaves little margin if he is targeted on the ball; Most tracked threes are assisted, so the pull-up shooting claim still needs cleaner evidence. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 37.3 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.5605 across 36 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
32.4% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Andrew Funk, Matt Thomas, Jalen Bridges, Duncan Robinson
Player-centered hit rate
15.1% NBA hit rate (16/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 0.8% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.0% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 37.3 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 6.5605 across 36 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Tyler Nickel's board case is that his shooting volume and movement indicators give him a scalable wing role. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the combine barometers back the athletic translation; the counterweight is that the board is already applying caution to the senior-handler translation curve.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Vanderbilt
6-7
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
84.7
58.2
39.6
75.0
14.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
3.4
+0.8
1.4
1.9
9.6
1.8
-0.6
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
903
17.3
56.6
6.8
8.3
+2.7
-1.0
+4.9
+4.3
-0.6
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
57.1
0.0
74.1
55.0
48.0
12.5
37.6
94.1
226
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
15.1
2.7
0.8
0.0
0.0
16
4
1
0
0
Andrew Funk
Matt Thomas
Jalen Bridges
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
NBA Stats Draft Combine Strength & Agility 2026-27
Jaxon Kohler is a 6-9 senior interior big from Michigan St., carrying +9.1 BPM, 20.1% usage, 59.2% on twos. The scouting lens blends PDF rank 45, 19.2% player-centered NBA hit rate, 9.2 3PA per 100 possessions.
Profile Snapshot
Archetype
Interior big
Tier
WATCH LIST
Draft Range
2nd round / two-way range
Path
Senior
Team
Michigan St.
Position
PF/C
Final blend holdLate-board blend candidateAgility barometers: 1/4Barometer move: -6Top-75 2P holdLate-board score: 59.1NBA G League CombineWATCH LISTSenior6-9Michigan St.Senior / automatically draft eligible
Strengths
Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.1% from three in the tracked split, 9.2 3PA/100, and 86.9% at the line.
Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions.
Defensive glass should travel: 25.0% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions.
Defensive PORPAGATU backs up the impact case at 4.1.
DBPM is comfortably positive for the role (+2.8).
Impact data backs up the eye-test case: +8.8 Hoop Explorer top-100 RAPM.
Positive box-score base with +9.1 BPM.
Needs Work
Combine athletic testing lagged the PDF barometers (1/4).
Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter.
Coverage mobility has to hold when NBA offenses pull him away from the rim.
NBA play-finishing role needs the rim profile to scale through screens, cuts, and offensive boards (57.6% rim frequency, 67.1% rim FG).
Shot profile and decision making need to hold when the player is moved off preferred actions.
Team context will matter for how quickly the player earns high-leverage minutes.
Scouting Write-Up
Jaxon Kohler enters this board at No. 60 as a 6-9 senior interior big at Michigan St.. The data case starts with +9.1 BPM, 20.1% usage, 61.5% TS, +8.8 top-100 RAPM. The local notes add PDF rank 45.
The NBA pathway is built around play-finishing, defensive utility, and whether the skill level keeps him on the floor in spaced lineups. Defensively, Defensive glass should travel: 25.0% defensive rebounding rate helps end possessions. The strongest parts of the case are: Jumper should translate as a spacing weapon: 37.1% from three in the tracked split, 9.2 3PA/100, and 86.9% at the line; Shot creation has a real role hook: some real self-created frontcourt offense at 3.5 unassisted makes per 100 possessions. The shot profile adds 59.2% on twos, 52.5% rim frequency, 74.5% at the rim, 9.2 3PA/100, 3.5 unassisted makes per 100. Outcome context adds +8.8 Hoop Explorer RAPM, 19.2% cluster NBA-hit rate, 6.4% established rate, 1/4 agility barometers.
The swing points are: Combine athletic testing lagged the PDF barometers (1/4); Senior translation still needs role clarity because the developmental runway is shorter. Local-note context: Late-board blend: 59.1 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 9.0904 across 35 games. The cleanest read is to value the bankable skill while keeping those constraints attached to the projection.
Competitive Context
Lens
Read
Manual promise score
68.6% using the scored promise pool.
Player-centered cluster comps
Micah Potter, Dorian Finney-Smith, Thomas Welsh, Hunter Tyson
Player-centered hit rate
19.2% NBA hit rate (23/125 raw hit neighbors; distance-weighted rate), 1.9% 5th/6th/7th rate, 0.8% good-starter rate, and 0.0% star rate.
Late-board 49-60 model
Late-board blend: 59.1 score from top-75 BPM, verified NBA, G League, or Portsmouth combine agility, and PDF note/list signals. BartTorvik top-75 BPM: 9.0904 across 35 games.
Draft status
Senior / automatically draft eligible
Source
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
Board thesis
Jaxon Kohler's board case is that his frontcourt value comes from blending play-finishing with enough spacing skill to stay in modern lineups. He belongs in this range because the player-centered neighborhood keeps the NBA-hit case alive and the finishing marker gives the role a high-efficiency base; the counterweight is that the older prospect curve leaves less room for a purely developmental bet.
Draft Entry
Team
Height
Status
Source
Michigan St.
6-9
Senior / automatically draft eligible
BartTorvik 2026 player stats vs top-75 teams
BartTorvik Shooting Profile
FT%
2P%
Rim Freq
Rim FG%
3P/100
86.9
59.2
52.5
74.5
9.2
Defensive Indicators
D-PRPG
DBPM
STL%
BLK%
DRB%
FC/40
Def RAPM
4.1
+2.8
1.3
3.1
25.0
2.3
-4.2
Hoop Explorer Impact
Tier
Mins
USG
eFG
AST
TO
Off Adj
Def Adj
RAPM
Off RAPM
Def RAPM
High
739
20.5
56.2
9.6
14.9
+4.2
-3.8
+8.8
+4.6
-4.2
Assisted / Unassisted Shot Profile
Tier
2P
2P Ast
Rim/2Prim
Rim Ast
Mid
Mid Ast
3P
3P Ast
3PA
High
56.8
0.0
67.1
51.0
42.9
29.2
37.1
100.0
116
Player-Centered Cluster
Neighborhood
Role Labels
Weighting
NBA Hit
Established
5th/6th/7th
Good Starter
Star
NBA Hits
Established Hits
5th/6th/7th Hits
Good Starter Hits
Star Hits
Nearest NBA 1
Nearest NBA 2
Nearest NBA 3
125
Relaxed
Distance
19.2
6.4
1.9
0.8
0.0
23
8
2
1
0
Micah Potter
Dorian Finney-Smith
Thomas Welsh
Combine Agility Barometers
Source
Shuttle <3.20
Lane <11.30
3/4 sprint <=3.35
Max vert >=33.0
Points
Passed
Official NBA G League Combine Strength & Agility Results
Data and scouting context are compiled by Gametime IQ from publicly available statistics, official NBA/NBA G League draft-combine materials, college team pages, BartTorvik, Hoop Explorer, RealGM, 3StepsBasket, Sofascore, NBL box/play-by-play pages, and original Gametime IQ scouting notes.
All rankings, model scores, written evaluations, and board decisions are independent editorial work by Gametime IQ. Source links are provided for transparency; no affiliation, sponsorship, or endorsement by the NBA, NCAA, teams, leagues, players, or data providers is implied.